Sample Our Reports, Presentations, & Market Insights
At some point, the economy will have to restart and people will return to work, but many questions remain. What will a restart look like? What kind of economic life will we return to? The economy needs to regain nearly 100% of its pre-virus activity...
It is difficult to find a superlative to describe what the Fed announced this morning. At first blush, it looks like they are nationalizing financial markets, except for equities and high yield.
Central banks fired all their weapons to stop markets from declining, but U.S. stock futures are locked limit down as we write. The central bank "put" no longer works. If risk markets make new lows, regulators and government officials may have no...
Friday, the 13th, between 7:45AM ET and 9:00AM ET the Fed will offer the massive sum of $1.175 trillion in liquidity (repo) in an attempt to help dysfunctional financial markets. If it works, and liquidity returns, financial markets should resemble...
S&P futures opened 60 points lower (1.9%), but have reversed to positive on the day. The market has priced in a 50 bps cut for tomorrow morning.
Official statistics show that the coronavirus growth rate peaked a few days ago. Many hope this is a sign that the worst of the coronavirus is behind us. But more evidence is emerging that these statistics are not the measures of the virus growth,...
Using cable news coverage as a gauge of concern/interest, we find little to no panic with the public over the virus. This suggests that little financial market downside has been discounted.
Below is our collection of coronavirus charts updated through Day 16 of reporting, January 31, 2020. First An Observation – A Hard Arithmetic Limit In Virus Growth? Many news reports suggest that the Chinese are limited in their health...
Many economists are hoping for the best and assuming any economic impact from the coronavirus will be minimal. Because of the exponential growth rate of these types of outbreaks, it is nearly impossible to asses the true economic impact until the...
The growth in coronavirus infections has continued along a geometric progression for the last 12 days. While not overlooking the human tragedy, the markets have the difficult task of pricing an event that has a small chance of being devastating to...