In the wake of last week's Democrat debate, Elizabeth Warren's odds are slipping while Pete Buttigieg's odds surge. Warren still leads the pack, but her quest for the nomination is heading in the wrong direction.... Read More
The U.S. is a highly polarized country, which is apparent in many different measures.... Read More
The betting markets have been telling us for weeks that Warren is the Democrat leader. The polls and cable news channels are just coming around to this realization. Watch the betting markets. They tell you what the polls and cable news stories will look like several weeks from now.... Read More
Endorsements from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ilhan Omar put Bernie Sanders back into third place in the Democrat race.... Read More
Warren continues to top the list of Democrat hopefuls, followed by Biden. Hillary Clinton, who has denied any interest in running, has moved into a tie for third place next to Andrew Yang.... Read More
The latest from the betting markets on impeachment and the 2020 race... Read More
Predictit.org is the largest election betting market in the United States. Bettors believe an impeachment is likely, but conviction is unlikely. For now, they do not believe this will have a big effect on Trump's 2020 fortunes. The impeachment story has probably affected the Democrat side of the equation more, as Biden's odds are slumping, Warren's are surging and Hillary's non-campaign is even picking up steam.... Read More
The third Democrat debate is tonight. The polls suggest Biden is in the lead, while betting markets put Warren at the top.... Read More
The betting markets are akin to a real-time poll. We use them to show how the 2020 election is unfolding.... Read More
The betting markets are akin to a real-time poll. We use them to show how the 2020 election is unfolding.... Read More
The betting markets are akin to a real-time poll. We use them to show how the 2020 election is unfolding.... Read More
The betting markets are akin to a real-time poll. We use them to show how the Democrat candidates are doing in securing the nomination.... Read More
Trump's approval rating and re-election odds have been on the rise in 2019.... Read More
The first Democrat debate appears to have only weakened front-runner Joe Biden's prospects for nomination. According to bettors, this has improved Trump's odds of winning next year's election.... Read More
A look at Trump's approval rating... Read More
The first Democrat debate appears to have only weakened front-runner Joe Biden's prospects for nomination. According to bettors, this has improved Trump's odds of winning next year's election.... Read More
Yesterday political betting markets set record trading volume on volatile trading. They now show no clear front-runner for the Democrat nominee.... Read More
A look at Trump's approval rating... Read More