Passing articles of impeachment without a majority of the country's backing risks a backlash. Trump's surging approval rating appears to be the result. It is quite possible today's impeachment vote will not result in Trump's removal, but rather could help his chance at re-election.... Read More
Impeachment proceedings, Trump's approval rating, and the Democrat nomination process all have the potential to move markets. We detail their latest standings.... Read More
Now that the Democrats have released their report on the impeachment hearings, how have polls and bettors responded?... Read More
Kamala Harris dropped out of the election yesterday, adding to an unusually volatile pre-primary season in which many candidates exited before the Iowa primary. Bettors continue to price the presidential race as a coin toss between Trump and the unnamed Democrat.... Read More
An update on the race for the Democrat nomination, including a new sortable table to track candidate's odds at the upcoming primaries... Read More
The impeachment hearings ended and Congress is on recess until early December. Polls show waning support for impeachment, while betting markets continue to expect an impeachment without Trump actually being removed from office.... Read More
In the wake of Wednesday's Democrat debate, the betting markets show Pete Buttigieg's odds continue to surge. According to bettors, he continues to lead in the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries and has passed Joe Biden into second place for the overall nomination.... Read More
Today is arguably the most important day in the impeachment hearings, with European Union Ambassador Gordon Sondland testifying. Below we track the odds of Trump's impeachment according to the latest polls and betting market trading.... Read More
Another Democrat debate takes place tonight. Where do the candidates' odds stand going into it?... Read More
Public impeachment hearings begin today. Betting markets and polls see Trump getting impeached, but not removed from office. The public hearings will likely sway these numbers.... Read More
The polls and betting markets continue to turn against Elizabeth Warren. Pete Buttigieg is gaining the most ground.... Read More
Trump held true on his promise to cut regulations when he took office in 2016. In the past couple years, however, the number of pages in the Federal Register have slowly crept higher.... Read More
In this week's weekly political update, we focus on the political polls.... Read More
What looked like a Warren nomination just several days ago now looks more like a wide-open race.... Read More
The polls and betting markets suggest a different candidate may win each of the first three Democrat primaries. Warren leads in Iowa, Sanders leads in New Hampshire and Biden leads in South Carolina. Interestingly, the candidate with the most momentum is Pete Buttigieg.... Read More
An update on the candidates' odds as they turn their attention to the Iowa caucus... Read More
The latest on impeachment and Trump's approval rating... Read More
Betting markets and polls point toward Trump getting impeached by the House, but the Senate will make his removal from office unlikely. None of this seems to be changing Trump's re-election chances.... Read More
American politics is more polarized than any time since the Civil War. Congress votes along party lines to the exclusion of almost everything else. This reflects the mood of the country, which is not likely to change anytime soon.... Read More
In the wake of last week's Democrat debate, Elizabeth Warren's odds are slipping while Pete Buttigieg's odds surge. Warren still leads the pack, but her quest for the nomination is heading in the wrong direction.... Read More