An Election Update
Posted By Jim Bianco
The betting market suggests this is a very close election.... Read More
The betting market suggests this is a very close election.... Read More
FiveThirtyEight unveiled its election forecasting model, currently giving Biden a 71% chance of winning. Betting markets put Biden's odds at 59%. Why is there such a difference?... Read More
Make no mistake about it, Trump is behind. But his deficit is narrowing. When focusing on the swing states, the race is a lot closer.... Read More
While Trump's election odds are behind in both the polls and betting markets, his deficit might not be as large as perceived. The swing states are still very much in play.... Read More
While Trump's election odds are behind in both the polls and betting markets, his deficit might not be as large as perceived.... Read More
Lately, Trump's re-election odds have been trending lower. Wall Street is now anticipating a Biden victory. The data indeed shows that Trump is behind, but ten swing states will bear watching as November approaches.... Read More
Trump held true on his promise to cut regulations when he took office in 2016. In the past few years, however, the number of pages in the Federal Register have slowly crept higher.... Read More
While the polls are still looking unfavorable for Trump, his odds of winning the election according to the betting markets have stabilized.... Read More
Polls and betting markets continue to show Democrats increasing their lead over Republicans.... Read More
The last few weeks have not been good for President Trump, as reflected in the polls and bettors' opinion on the fall election.... Read More
The latest polling and betting results are trending toward Biden/Democrats. ... Read More
The presidential election, which is now less than 6 months away, is being considered a coin-toss by bettors. We would argue this is correct because the election will be determined by events that have yet to happen or be judged, mainly the re-opening of the economy. The congressional elections are trending toward the Democrats. The Senate was a solid Republican hold, but is now a coin-toss.... Read More
Our latest political betting and polling charts.... Read More
The betting markets see a coin toss for the presidency.... Read More
With Biden consolidating his position as the presumptive nominee, we look at the latest political charts and see a 50/50 election.... Read More
A look at political polls and betting markets... Read More
Trump's approval rating is at a three-year high. Meanwhile, the betting markets are turning slightly against Joe Biden, but he is still the overwhelming favorite.... Read More
It should come as no surprise that Trump's approval rating and odds of winning the election are moving against him.... Read More
Sanders lost his last opportunity to turn the tide in the Democrat race. Barring a catastrophic event, Biden will be the nominee. Now voters will begin to focus on the presidential election.... Read More
Six states hold primaries today, headlined by Michigan. Biden is now far ahead of Sanders for the overall nomination, after pulling a dramatic reversal on Super Tuesday. Can Sanders get back into the race?... Read More