Tag Archives: Politics

January 4, 2021

Politics

Georgia Senate Update – Big Shift in Betting, Now a Toss-Up
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

In the last few days, the betting market has priced in a larger chance for Democrat victories in the Georgia Senate runoff. Incumbent Kelly Loeffler (R) is now expected to lose her race. Incumbent Dave A. Perdue (R) is now in a toss-up race. The probably Republicans retain control of the Senate is also a toss-up at 54%.... Read More

December 31, 2020

Politics

Talking Data: Georgia Election
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

In today?s installment of Talking Data, Jim offers new insights into the Georgia Senate elections next week (January 5).... Read More

December 24, 2020

Politics

Georgia Senate Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Betting markets still give Republicans a 74% chance of retaining the majority of the Senate. Polls are diverging from bettors and showing a more mixed race.... Read More

December 17, 2020

Politics

Georgia Senate Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Betting markets still give Republicans a 68% chance of retaining the majority of the Senate. The polls have actually also turned in favor of Republicans now.... Read More

December 10, 2020

Politics

Georgia Senate Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Betting markets still give Republicans a 71% chance of retaining the majority of the Senate. They are seemingly at odds with the polls that suggest this is a much closer race. Polls were off going into election day by consistently overstating the Democrats' strength.... Read More

December 4, 2020

Politics

Georgia Senate Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Collectively the Georgia Senate runoffs are tightening according to a recent poll. The next few days will see some important milestones.... Read More

November 30, 2020

Politics

Control of the Senate
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

The upcoming Georgia Senate races could have a big impact on the makeup of the government over the next couple years. As of this writing, Republicans are expected to maintain control of the Senate.... Read More

November 3, 2020

Politics

Election Day!
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

With election day finally upon us, we check in on the polls and betting markets one last time.... Read More

November 2, 2020

Politics

One Day to Go
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

With one day to go, the divergence between betting markets and polls remains very wide. The difference may be due to differing opinions on a "hidden Trump vote." Pollsters do not think it exists, but betting markets do.... Read More

October 28, 2020

Politics

Six Days Until the Election
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

While polls are tightening and Biden still has a comfortable lead, the betting markets continue to see this as a closer race.... Read More

October 26, 2020

Politics

Why the Polls and Bettors Differ
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

With eight days left to go until the election, polls and betting markets are still showing varying degrees of certainty in their predictions. While both groups expect a Biden victory, the betting markets appear to be more closely aligned with the market.... Read More

October 22, 2020

Politics

Twelve Days Until the Election
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

While polls are tightening, Biden still has a comfortable lead. The betting markets see this as a much closer race.... Read More

October 16, 2020

Politics

Nineteen Days Until the Election
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

A look at the polls and betting markets... Read More

October 2, 2020

Politics

Talking Data: Is the Election About to Take Center Stage?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

Our podcast series, Talking Data, offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. In today's installment, Jim offers his insight on the election and the divergence between polls' and investors' opinions.... Read More

September 30, 2020

Politics

Post Debate Reaction
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Risk markets could come under renewed pressure as investors and betting markets price in a stronger chance of a Biden victory.... Read More

September 29, 2020

Politics

Why the Debate Will Matter
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

For weeks we have noted prediction markets and investors are aligned with each other but are not aligned with the polling averages. This is unusual. Tonight's debate should start the process of resolving this divergence.... Read More

September 24, 2020

Politics

A Look at Regulatory Activity as Q3 Comes to a Close
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Trump held true on his promise to cut regulations when he took office in 2016. In the past few years, however, the number of pages in the Federal Register have slowly crept higher.... Read More

September 10, 2020

Politics

A Political Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Bettors still see Biden and the Democrats having a slight edge in the upcoming election.... Read More

August 28, 2020

Politics

An Election Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Charts of the Week

The betting market suggests this is a very close election.... Read More

August 13, 2020

Politics

Election Update: Models vs. Markets
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

FiveThirtyEight unveiled its election forecasting model, currently giving Biden a 71% chance of winning. Betting markets put Biden's odds at 59%. Why is there such a difference?... Read More

Georgia Senate Update – Big Shift in Betting, Now a Toss-Up Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Talking Data: Georgia Election Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Georgia Senate Update Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Georgia Senate Update Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Georgia Senate Update Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Georgia Senate Update Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Control of the Senate Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Election Day! Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

One Day to Go Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Six Days Until the Election Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Why the Polls and Bettors Differ Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Twelve Days Until the Election Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Nineteen Days Until the Election Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Talking Data: Is the Election About to Take Center Stage? Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

Post Debate Reaction Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Why the Debate Will Matter Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

A Look at Regulatory Activity as Q3 Comes to a Close Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

A Political Update Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

An Election Update Posted By Jim Bianco | Charts of the Week

Election Update: Models vs. Markets Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Georgia Senate Update – Big Shift in Betting, Now a Toss-Up
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Talking Data: Georgia Election
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Georgia Senate Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Georgia Senate Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Georgia Senate Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Georgia Senate Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Control of the Senate
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Election Day!
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

One Day to Go
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Six Days Until the Election
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Why the Polls and Bettors Differ
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Twelve Days Until the Election
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Nineteen Days Until the Election
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Talking Data: Is the Election About to Take Center Stage?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

Post Debate Reaction
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Why the Debate Will Matter
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

A Look at Regulatory Activity as Q3 Comes to a Close
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

A Political Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

An Election Update
Posted By Jim Bianco | Charts of the Week

Election Update: Models vs. Markets
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips