Tag Archives: Monthly Reports

June 12, 2024

Inflation Watch – Supercore Finally Declines
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Year-over-year inflation came in below expectations in May. Supercore inflation, a measure closely watched by the Fed, fell for the first time in seven months. The markets have now put the September meeting back in play, pricing in almost 70% odds of a cut at that FOMC meeting.... Read More

June 7, 2024

Monthly Reports

Employment in Pictures – Another Beat on the Books
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

This morning's payroll number beat estimates of around 185k. This marks 24 of the last 29 months that the initial payroll release has beaten Wall Street estimates.... Read More

June 3, 2024

Monthly Reports

Total Return Review – Tech Continues to Dominate
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

U.S. stocks have handily outperformed stocks from the rest of the world since the beginning of 2023, largely on the back of the Magnificent Seven.... Read More

May 31, 2024

Monthly Reports

Monthly Fund Flows – Money Market Inflows Returned After Tax Season
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Retail money market funds saw outflows while U.S. citizens paid taxes, but inflows returned in May.... Read More

May 15, 2024

Monthly Reports

Inflation Watch – Nothing That Will Move the Fed’s Needle
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Year-over-year inflation came in right at expectations in April. Supercore inflation, a measure closely watched by the Fed, rose for a sixth straight month. The data is unlikely to move the needle much one way or another in the Fed's mind, so any Fedspeak will likely kick the can down the road until the next CPI release.... Read More

May 3, 2024

Monthly Reports

Employment in Pictures – A Rare Payrolls Miss
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Payrolls missed estimates for the first time since October 2023. Fed funds traders are now pricing in two rate cuts by year-end.... Read More

May 1, 2024

Monthly Reports

Total Return Review – Cocoa’s Wild Swings & the Continuation of the Bond Bear Market
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Cocoa prices saw some of their wildest swings on record, only to finish the month almost unchanged. Bonds' slide in April have them once again tracking some of their worst YTD total returns on record.... Read More

April 25, 2024

Monthly Reports

Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

A look at the size of various markets compared to the U.S. economy... Read More

April 10, 2024

Monthly Reports

Inflation Watch – Bumps in the Road Start to Look Like a Trend
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Year-over-year inflation came in slightly above expectations again in March. Supercore inflation, a measure closely watched by the Fed, rose for a fifth straight month. Time is slowly running out for data that supports a Fed rate cut this year. Traders now put the odds of a June or July cut at less than 50%.... Read More

April 5, 2024

Monthly Reports

Employment in Pictures – Beating Even the Most Optimistic Estimates
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Over 300k jobs were added in March, beating even the most optimistic economist's estimate. The odds of a rate cut at the June FOMC meeting are now a coin toss.... Read More

April 1, 2024

Monthly Reports

Total Return Review – U.S. Stocks Outperform
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

U.S. stocks have handily outperformed stocks from the rest of the world since the beginning of 2023, largely on the back of the Magnificent Seven.... Read More

Monthly Reports

Monthly Fund Flows – Retail Money Market Funds Continue Growing
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Money continues to flow into retail money market funds. Banks are left with the option of raising deposit rates, which squeezes margins, or watching customers walk out the door.... Read More

March 12, 2024

Monthly Reports

Inflation Watch – Is Time Running Out for Rate Cuts This Year?
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Year-over-year inflation came in slightly above expectations in February. Supercore inflation, a measure closely watched by the Fed, rose for a fourth straight month. Time is slowly running out for data that supports a Fed rate cut this year, but fed funds traders continue to price in a June or July cut.... Read More

March 8, 2024

Monthly Reports

Employment in Pictures – Something for Both Doves & Hawks
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

This morning's payrolls report was a bit of a mixed bag, offering something for both the doves and the hawks.... Read More

March 1, 2024

Monthly Reports

Total Return Review – U.S. Stocks Ride Tech Higher
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

U.S. stocks have handily outperformed stocks from the rest of the world since the beginning of 2023, largely on the back of the Magnificent Seven.... Read More

February 29, 2024

Monthly Reports

Monthly Fund Flows – Retail Crowd Reaching for Yield in Money Markets
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

While the majority of money market fund assets remain in government funds, the retail crowd has started reaching for yield once again in prime funds.... Read More

February 13, 2024

Monthly Reports

Inflation Watch – Supercore on the Rise Again
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation came in slightly above expectations in January. Supercore inflation, a measure closely watched by the Fed, rose for a third straight month. A May rate cut is now in doubt.... Read More

February 2, 2024

Monthly Reports

Employment in Pictures – Big Beat Hurts Case for March Rate Cut
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Payrolls beat even the highest estimate in Bloomberg's survey of economists. Revisions to past months were also the highest in a couple years. As a result, traders now see a March rate cut as unlikely.... Read More

February 1, 2024

Monthly Reports

Monthly Fund Flows – Cash Continues Piling Into Money Market Funds
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Money continues to flow into money market funds. Banks are left with the option of raising deposit rates, which squeezes margins, or watching customers walk out the door.... Read More

Monthly Reports

Total Return Review – Mag7 Outperformance Has Driven US Equity Returns
Newsclips

The outperformance of tech stocks, specifically the Magnificent 7 stocks, in 2023 created a wide dispersion in the composition of the equity market rally.... Read More

Inflation Watch – Supercore Finally Declines Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Another Beat on the Books Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Tech Continues to Dominate Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Money Market Inflows Returned After Tax Season Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Nothing That Will Move the Fed’s Needle Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – A Rare Payrolls Miss Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Cocoa’s Wild Swings & the Continuation of the Bond Bear Market Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Bumps in the Road Start to Look Like a Trend Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Beating Even the Most Optimistic Estimates Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – U.S. Stocks Outperform Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Retail Money Market Funds Continue Growing Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Is Time Running Out for Rate Cuts This Year? Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Something for Both Doves & Hawks Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – U.S. Stocks Ride Tech Higher Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Retail Crowd Reaching for Yield in Money Markets Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Supercore on the Rise Again Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Big Beat Hurts Case for March Rate Cut Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Cash Continues Piling Into Money Market Funds Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Mag7 Outperformance Has Driven US Equity Returns Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Supercore Finally Declines
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Another Beat on the Books
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Tech Continues to Dominate
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Money Market Inflows Returned After Tax Season
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Nothing That Will Move the Fed’s Needle
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – A Rare Payrolls Miss
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Cocoa’s Wild Swings & the Continuation of the Bond Bear Market
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Bumps in the Road Start to Look Like a Trend
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Beating Even the Most Optimistic Estimates
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – U.S. Stocks Outperform
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Retail Money Market Funds Continue Growing
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Is Time Running Out for Rate Cuts This Year?
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Something for Both Doves & Hawks
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – U.S. Stocks Ride Tech Higher
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Retail Crowd Reaching for Yield in Money Markets
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Supercore on the Rise Again
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Big Beat Hurts Case for March Rate Cut
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Cash Continues Piling Into Money Market Funds
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Mag7 Outperformance Has Driven US Equity Returns
Newsclips