Given Mr. Dimon's consistently bearish call on rates, we review sentiment measures in the bond market. His opinion is not far off that of economists or traders.... Read More
The 10-year note is sitting on critical resistance. Bond market sentiment is tilted toward higher yields, meaning the contrarian call is for a break below the recent range.... Read More
An interactive chart showing long-term interest rates... Read More
Search trends related to consumer borrowing and high tech industries bear watching as markets gauge the Bank of Canada's appetite for faster tightening. ... Read More
10-year specs are at an extreme net-short position once again. ... Read More
3-month yields top 2% for the first time since 2008.... Read More
A look at AAA yields since 1913... Read More
Growth in net new issuance will level off through the third quarter, offering some relief to Treasury markets in the near term.... Read More
China is more dependent on its trade relationship with the US than the US is with China. The Chinese economy needs to reinvest its trade money back into dollar assets more than the US needs the money.... Read More
A look at the CoT report from April 27, 2018... Read More
A breakdown of the COT data for 10-year Treasuries... Read More
In his inaugural edition of a new column, Jim discusses the regime shift in interest rates. The bond market is now focused on inflation rather than financial stability. Understanding this will prove vital as central banks embark on quantitative tightening in the years to come. ... Read More
In February we broke down global sovereign debt into interest rate buckets. That prompted inquiries about how the same chart looked when rates were at their lows.... Read More
The U.S. two-year note remains above S&P 500 dividend yields.... Read More
Large speculators are near an extreme net short position in the 10-year Treasury yield. ... Read More
With yields on the rise, we break down negative-yielding sovereign debt by country. We also break down sovereign debt by interest rate ranges.... Read More
All scenarios indicate 3.0% could be a difficult threshold to break in 2018.... Read More
On the whole, speculators remain heavy sellers of interest rate futures.... Read More