Tag Archives: Markets
A Speculative Frenzy Among Small Retail Accounts?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Speculative frenzies are often the mark of a market peak. Small retail accounts have bought stocks with abandon throughout the decline and subsequent bounce.... Read More
A Bear Market Rally
Posted By Jim Bianco
Many believe the bear market that saw the S&P 500 plunge 34% over the course of five weeks starting in late February is over and that major stock indexes will not revisit their recent lows. Don?t count on it.... Read More
Has Yield Curve Control Arrived?
Posted By Jim Bianco
How is the Treasury going to issue $3 trillion of debt over the next quarter without interest rates spiking higher? Could the answer be defacto yield curve control by the Federal Reserve?... Read More
The 90% Recovery
Posted By Jim Bianco
A 90% recovery is a bad recession. In 2007-2009, U.S. GDP only fell about 4% from its high. Early evidence from China suggests their economy is still at roughly 90% of its pre-virus levels.... Read More
Georgia Begins to Reopen
Posted By Jim Bianco
At some point the economy will have to restart and people will return to work, but many questions remain. What will a restart look like? What kind of economic life will we return to? The economy needs to regain nearly 100% of its pre-virus activity to avoid a long stagnation. Georgia's reopening this week should provide a window into our economic future.... Read More
A Review of Foreign Net Purchases of U.S. Securities
Posted By Greg Blaha
A look at foreign net sales and purchases of U.S. Treasuries, agencies, corporates and equities through February... Read More
Talking Markets and the Economy
Jim was recently a panelist for Hedgeye's Investing Summit, talking about the markets and the economy.... Read More
More on Treasury Yields Trending Sideways
Posted By Jim Bianco
The Fed is buying bonds at rates unimaginable just a few weeks ago, yet yields are not plummeting. Why not?... Read More
Earnings Season Starts This Week
Posted By Jim Bianco
Earnings season starts this week. No one really knows what to expect, but forecasts are coming down hard and probably have further to go.... Read More
The Fed Throws Another Kitchen Sink at the Markets
Posted By Jim Bianco
The Fed greatly expanded its buying program, adding facilities to buy munis and CARES loans as well as broadening eligible bond purchases to fallen angels and a wider swath of investment grade bonds.... Read More
The Fed’s SOMA Portfolio Grows Substantially
Posted By Greg Blaha
A look at the assets on the Fed's balance sheet... Read More
T-Bill Issuance Ramps Up
Posted By Greg Blaha
In the wake of the government's $2 trillion stimulus bill, the Treasury has ramped up T-bill issuance.... Read More
Measuring the Economic Damage
Posted By Jim Bianco
We are about to undergo the worst recession in the modern era.... Read More