Tag Archives: Markets

March 25, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – March 25th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Ben Breitholtz: Twitter: SentimenTrader @sentimentrader According to the ICI, equity mutual funds and ETFs enjoyed inflows of nearly $54 billion last week alone. That’s higher than any previous month in 26 years. So far in March, inflows total more than $75 billion. Tweet... Read More

Markets

Inflation – The Story of 2021
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation continues to be the biggest economic story so far this year. Either the massive amount of fiscal and monetary stimulus produces inflation or it does not and MMT/UBI wins. Place your bets.... Read More

March 24, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – March 24th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Peter Forbes: Larger than expected decline in new home sales. Severe weather in February a likely contributor and we already see signs that activity is picking up again in March. Regional declines were -37% for Midwest, -15% for South, -16%... Read More

March 23, 2021

Markets

Short Rates Flirting With Negative
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

With stimulus checks now being mailed out, several measures of short-term rates may be worth watching as barometers of potential trouble.... Read More

March 22, 2021

Markets

Jim Bianco: The trend towards yields is going to push-pull all year long
In the Media

Wall Street forecaster Jim Bianco expects stocks to get a boost this spring because the benchmark 10-year Treasury Note yield will temporarily retreat. ?The near-term forecast is it?s oversold, and it?s probably due for a rally ? meaning that we would have falling rates,? the Bianco Research president told CNBC?s ?Trading Nation? on Friday.... Read More

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – March 22nd, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Peter Forbes: TSA passenger volume on the rise. Latest Google search data show interest in more ambitious travel (air travel, theme parks, etc) rising steadily. Tweet Jim Bianco: John Authers has a good piece about the bond market today. ... Read More

March 19, 2021

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Highlights from the most recent COT report... Read More

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – March 19th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Twitter: Rick Rieder @RickRieder We?re in the midst of witnessing #BondMarketHistory, as the peak to trough drawdown for the Barclays Long Treasury Index now exceeds -20% (not including today?s move), its worst #drawdown going back 40 years and meeting what many... Read More

Markets

Funding Market Stress & No SLR Relief
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Funding markets are under stress and negative rates are a possibility. On the other end of the curve, higher rates continue.... Read More

March 18, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – March 18th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Twitter: Robin Brooks @RobinBrooksIIF The share of US debt held by foreigners has fallen to its lowest level since 2002 (lhs, blue). That’s not due to foreign selling, but rather that foreigners aren’t buying (rhs, pink), even as US debt... Read More

Markets

Does Yield Curve Control Work?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Given the struggles in Australia and Japan with yield curve control, should U.S. bond short sellers be afraid of the Fed?... Read More

March 17, 2021

Markets

The Issues for Jay Powell Today
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Jay Powell has two issues to address today. Convince the market has benign inflation forecast is correct and what to do about plunging short rates. Both are going to be difficult.... Read More

March 16, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – March 16th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Ben Breitholtz: Consumer spending by low-middle income households saw a large jump in vacation-related services into the end of February. Might help explain some of the out-performance across airlines as of late. The JETS ETF is up over 28% YTD.... Read More

March 15, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – March 15th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco: CoT out for March 9. 2-year large speculators are big-time short. But the 10-year remains neutral (second panel) with asset managers (bottom panel) not at a rare short and hedge funds (third panel) moving aggressively long. To properly... Read More

Markets

A Third COVID Wave in Europe?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

Europe has been slow to roll out vaccines and COVID infection counts have been turning higher. The US, UK, and Israel have been more aggressive with vaccine distribution and their infection counts continue to fall.... Read More

March 12, 2021

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Highlights from the most recent COT report... Read More

Markets

Detailing the Banking Industry’s Profitability
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Banks' net income increased in the fourth quarter, largely due to a massive reduction in loan loss reserves.... Read More

March 11, 2021

Markets

What Is the Growth vs. Value Rotation About?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

If growth versus value is really about interest rates, then the market might not be thinking that reopening stocks are going to soar, as the reopening-to-disruptive ratio is not definitive in its reversal. If, however, the growth-to-value rotation is about interest rates, it is on the assumption that rising rates are being driven by "R" or relation/real growth and not I" or inflation.... Read More

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – March 11th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Ben Breitholtz: Twitter: Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla B of A: ?We believe we are at a secular turning point for both inflation & interest rates,? with ?new central bank mandates, excess fiscal stimulus including UBI, less globalization, fading deflation from disruption, demographics... Read More

March 10, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – March 10, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco: Measuring the old financial system versus the new one. Jim Bianco: What has worked in the stock market this year? Analyzing a company’s financial position and buying the weaker ones! Jim Bianco: Since June, all the stock... Read More

Inflation – The Story of 2021 Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Short Rates Flirting With Negative Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Funding Market Stress & No SLR Relief Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Does Yield Curve Control Work? Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

The Issues for Jay Powell Today Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

A Third COVID Wave in Europe? Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

Detailing the Banking Industry’s Profitability Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

What Is the Growth vs. Value Rotation About? Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation – The Story of 2021
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Short Rates Flirting With Negative
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Funding Market Stress & No SLR Relief
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Does Yield Curve Control Work?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

The Issues for Jay Powell Today
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

A Third COVID Wave in Europe?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

Detailing the Banking Industry’s Profitability
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

What Is the Growth vs. Value Rotation About?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips