Tag Archives: Markets
Markets
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 24th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 24th, 2021
If you have any further questions on this material please contact me at: gus.handler@arborresearch.com Jim Bianco: Yes, European banks has been disasters since the ECB cut to zero 8 years ago (June 2014). While American banks have done better, they... Read More
Markets
10-Year Yields Break Out
10-Year Yields Break Out
Posted By Jim Bianco
10-year yields recently broke out of the high end of their range. Will fears of "persistent inflation" soon follow?... Read More
Markets
Will the Fed Ever Have a CBDC?
Will the Fed Ever Have a CBDC?
Posted By Jim Bianco
It seems the deeper the Fed gets into a digital currency, the further away they get from actually issuing one.... Read More
Markets
Comparing the Value of Credit in the U.S. to GDP
Comparing the Value of Credit in the U.S. to GDP
The amount of outstanding private credit in the U.S. experienced a brief decline during the financial crisis, but government debt grew throughout the entire period. Both are now at new highs.... Read More
Markets
Breaking Down Debt in the U.S.
Breaking Down Debt in the U.S.
A look at outstanding amounts of Treasuries, corporates, agencies, munis and open market paper... Read More
Markets
Funding Gaps at Public and Private Pensions
Funding Gaps at Public and Private Pensions
Private pension funds have much smaller funding gaps than their government counterparts.... Read More
Markets
Defined Benefit Plans Continue to Shrink
Defined Benefit Plans Continue to Shrink
Defined benefit plans continue to be replaced by IRAs and defined contribution plans.... Read More
Markets
Comparing Real Estate to GDP and Stock Ownership
Comparing Real Estate to GDP and Stock Ownership
A home may be the biggest purchase most people make in their lives, but households' home equity is actually surpassed by households' direct stock ownership.... Read More
Markets
69% of GDP Is Due to Personal Consumption
69% of GDP Is Due to Personal Consumption
Personal consumption continues to make up a larger portion of U.S. GDP as time progresses.... Read More
Markets
Almost 46% of FDIC Deposits Are Uninsured
Almost 46% of FDIC Deposits Are Uninsured
Almost 46% of FDIC deposits in the U.S. are uninsured.... Read More
Markets
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 23rd, 2021
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 23rd, 2021
If you have any further questions on this material please contact me at: gus.handler@arborresearch.com Ben Breitholtz: Through Powell’s presser yesterday, officials have ramped up inflation discussions to the highest frequency since mid-2016. Nonetheless, employment continues to reign supreme. Financial stability,... Read More
Markets
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 22nd, 2021
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 22nd, 2021
If you have any further questions on this material please contact me at: gushandler@arborresearch.com Ben Breitholtz: I see implied vol expectations across the curve are FALLING! The moderate bump we saw in 10-year vol is vanishing. Jim Bianco: That’s it,... Read More
Markets
China’s Economy Slows and the Fed
China’s Economy Slows and the Fed
Posted By Jim Bianco
The Chinese economy is hitting the skids hard. Their most vulnerable companies are in trouble and the government is cracking down on the private sector. The People's Bank of China is injecting huge sums of liquidity into the economy, its most since January.... Read More
Markets
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 21st, 2021
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 21st, 2021
Jim Bianco: Bloomberg has a weekly consumer confidence report that breaks it down by self-described political alignment. As this chart shows, political alignment might be the strongest of all traits in determining consumer confidence (see the bottom panel and note... Read More
Markets
Will September Payrolls Disappoint? – Update
Will September Payrolls Disappoint? – Update
Posted By Alex Malitas
The week of September 13 was the BLS's payroll survey week, which will produce a critical metric for the Fed's taper decision. Similar to last week, we check in with COVID and Hurricane Ida to understand if another disappointing payroll report is on the table, further stalling the Fed's tapering plans.... Read More
Markets
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 20th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 20th, 2021
Jim Bianco: The story that will not go away for the Fed gets worse and worse. Now Powell is involved. CNBC: Fed Chief Powell, other officials owned securities central bank bought during Covid pandemic Steve Liesman – Amid an outcry... Read More
Markets
Sticker Shock
Sticker Shock
Posted By Jim Bianco
Car prices are soaring again as demand for cars meets limited supply. The transitory CPI component of car prices could be poised to turn higher.... Read More
Markets
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 17th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 17th, 2021
Jim Bianco: Bloomberg: Fed Seen Announcing Bond Taper in November, Rate Liftoff in 2023 Steve Matthews and Kyungjin Yoo – The Federal Reserve will probably hint at its meeting next week that it is moving toward scaling back monthly asset... Read More