The T-bill curve is pricing in a technical default between December 15 and December 23.... Read More
Bianco Research Conference Call: Does Omicron Mean MORE Inflation? Tomorrow, December 2, at 9:00 AM CT (10:00 AM ET, 7:00 AM PT and 15:00 GMT) Bianco Research, in conjunction with Arbor Research & Trading, will be hosting a webinar/teleconference moderated... Read More
Colleague: Client asking re your view expressed yesterday re inflation …wouldn’t a fall in oil from lockdowns be disinflationary? Jim Bianco: Oil would fall, but I don’t think core inflation falls unless you’re predicting a recession. If it gets that... Read More
Despite statements to the contrary, the supply chain is not getting better. The case could be made that it is the worst it has ever been now. Recent changes in shipping data appear to be designed to hide the problem, not alleviate it.... Read More
Before omicron, inflation was the biggest threat to the economy. Overstimulation pushed demand to records and the supply chain couldn't keep up. Additionally, the Great Resignation added to supply problems. Omicron could exaggerate this imbalance rather than reverse it.... Read More
Covid cases continue to rise in Europe and the U.S. A new variant is threatening the global economy and hurting risk markets worldwide.... Read More
Ben Breitholtz: Given liquidity issues and active central banks, currency tail risk is on the move as we expected! Colleague: So how does one play that tail risk Ben? Ben Breitholtz: Like we suggested, purest is 10 or 25 delta... Read More
Volatility and liquidity measures in bond markets, especially in the front end of the yield curve, have turned significantly worse in the last few months. At the same time, the dollar has soared and the market is nearly pricing in a May rate hike.... Read More
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Cryptocurrencies with Charles Payne Jim Bianco: There is a market that look like the short-rates, the dollar. Here is the 2-year note and Dollar Index charts side-by-side. For those that think the move... Read More
Short rates are moving higher on the belief the Fed has to get aggressive next year. If this happens because of persistent inflation, the Fed is in a tough spot. They would have to pick one market to help. They cannot help both.... Read More
Jim Bianco: *U.S. POISED TO RELEASE OIL FROM RESERVE WITH OTHER NATIONS See the rectangle … how does this differ from what they have been doing? Jim Bianco: The market has three rate hikes priced in for 2022. A June... Read More
The market is pricing in a very aggressive Fed in 2022, complete with a sped up taper and three hikes. Economists and Fed officials remain more dovish, representing a real disconnect with the markets.... Read More
As the global economy deals with shortages and inflation, Covid is returning and countries are locking down again. This will worsen the situation.... Read More
Bianco Research Conference Call Replay: The Inflation Narrative Is Changing Today, November 18, at 9:00 AM CT (10:00 AM ET, 7:00 AM PT, and 15:00 GMT) Bianco Research, in conjunction with Arbor Research & Trading, hosted a client webinar/teleconference moderated... Read More
Bianco Research Conference Call: The Inflation Narrative Is Changing Tomorrow, November 18, at 9:00 AM CT (10:00 AM ET, 7:00 AM PT, and 15:00 GMT) Bianco Research, in conjunction with Arbor Research & Trading, will be hosting a client... Read More
Jim Bianco: *U.S. RETAIL SALES INCREASED 1.7% IN OCT.; EST. 1.4% It looks like a beat, HOWEVER … retails sales is calculated in dollars and CPI was up 0.9% is October. So the 1.7% needs to be deflated by the... Read More
Today's topics include the taper's timing with the first rate hike, Biden's Fed pick 'imminent', defining ESG investing, relief in the energy markets?, incentivizing carriers to clear containers off ports, proposed reclassification of sector ETFs, doing the math on Elon's goal to sell 10%, Bill Gross warns on markets, and a Covid update... Read More
Bianco Research Conference Call: The Inflation Narrative Is Changing Thursday, November 18, at 9:00 AM CT (10:00 AM ET, 7:00 AM PT, and 15:00 GMT) Bianco Research, in conjunction with Arbor Research & Trading, will be hosting a client webinar/teleconference moderated... Read More
