Tag Archives: Markets

February 24, 2022

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science – February 24th, 2022
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco: Latest drawdown charts. The most worrisome part, to me, is interest rates are not giving an inch. In fact the 2-year finished about 1.60%. Zero flight to quality after this big decline. My takeaway, this is about inflation. ... Read More

Markets

The Fed Has No Choice – Ukraine Edition
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

For the time being, Putin appears to have no interest in backing down. This puts central banks in an even worse spot than before. Growth will likely take a hit, but inflation will also remain elevated. We believe the Fed will attempt to tame inflation first, worrying about slow growth later.... Read More

February 23, 2022

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science – February 23rd, 2022
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco: The 10:1 ratio of this tweet should stand as evidence of how important, and how angry, the public is about inflation. Jim Bianco: Manheim: Wholesale Vehicle Prices Decline in First Half of February Manheim Market Report (MMR) prices... Read More

Markets

Yield Curve Continues to Flatten
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

The yield curve's flattening is a sign of growing concern that the Fed is going to hike too much and break something. The curve is not yet inverted, which would signal the market believes things are already breaking, but it continues to move toward that level.... Read More

February 18, 2022

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Some interesting charts from our recent COT report. ... Read More

February 16, 2022

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science – February 16th, 2022
Bespoke Commentary

Bianco Research Conference Call: Fed Tightening Is Coming Thursday, February 17 at 9:00 AM CT (10:00 AM ET, 7:00 AM PT and 15:00 GMT) Bianco Research, in conjunction with Arbor Research & Trading, will be hosting a client webinar/teleconference moderated... Read More

Markets

Two Investor Types in the Market
Posted By Alex Malitas | Newsclips

Passive 'buy and hold' capital has been pouring into the market even during the 10% decline in January 2022. This has led to a divergence in flows between allocator funds and trading funds.... Read More

February 15, 2022

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science – February 15th, 2022
Bespoke Commentary

Bianco Research Conference Call: Fed Tightening Is Coming The era of easy money is over. Now comes the tightening. How much will the Fed tighten? Why? And what will be its impact on the markets and the economy? Join us... Read More

February 14, 2022

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science – February 14th, 2022
Bespoke Commentary

Markets

The Fed Won’t Get Their Soft Landing
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Mounting pressures on central banks to tame inflation mean they are far less worried about maintaining asset prices.... Read More

February 11, 2022

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Some highlights from our recent COT report. ... Read More

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science – February 11th, 2022
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg Real Yield to discuss the Fed Hike, Inflation & Yield Curve Jim Bianco: Morgan Stanley’s Vishy Tirupattur (the middle guy above) said that their economics department headed by Ellen Zentner has an early forecast for Feb... Read More

Markets

Where Are Valuations Now?
Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

There is no doubt valuations are stretched and have been for some time. In a low-rate, strong-growth environment, this is not an issue. However, as we enter a period of Fed tightening and higher rates, the paradigm is shifting and valuations look more problematic.... Read More

February 10, 2022

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science – February 10th, 2022
Bespoke Commentary

Colleague: First time ever 5 consecutive worst than expected CPI. Jim Bianco: Durable good inflation is up 18% YoY. We are still buying “stuff” and not shifting to “services” or “experiences.” CME Fed Watch page is updating very slowly …... Read More

February 9, 2022

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science – February 9th, 2022
Bespoke Commentary

Bloomberg: Inflation-Stoking Supply Crunch Set to Ease in Second Half Christian Wienberg and Anna Edwards – A major player in global trade signaled disrupted supply chains rattling economies from Vietnam to Germany may return to normal within months, easing concerns... Read More

Markets

How Credit Trades and What It Is Signaling
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

The high yield market, and we would argue the larger credit markets, have had two cycles over the past decade - buy and hedge. Right now we are in a hedging cycle. Persistent inflation and QT could initiate the first selling cycle in a long time.... Read More

February 8, 2022

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science – February 8th, 2022
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco: The market now has 6 hikes priced in over the 7 FOMC meetings remaining in 2022. The consensus STILL cannot catch up to market pricing. Also not the market has 5 hikes priced in for the next 5... Read More

February 7, 2022

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science – February 7th, 2022
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco: Spotify stock is down by almost half since it fall peak. The latest acceleration lower is the fear that they might lost Joe Rogan. And Rumble has stepped in today and offer Rogan $100 million to move to... Read More

February 4, 2022

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Some highlights from our recent COT reports. ... Read More

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science – February 4th, 2022
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco: *U.S. AVERAGE RETAIL GASOLINE PRICE SURGES TO HIGHEST SINCE 2014 Twitter: Jonathan Ferro @FerroTV Payrolls estimates todayMedian: 125k High: 250k Low: -400k CPI estimates next week Median: 7.3% High: 7.6% Low: 7% Tweet Jim Bianco: Boy did everyone gets... Read More

The Fed Has No Choice – Ukraine Edition Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Yield Curve Continues to Flatten Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Two Investor Types in the Market Posted By Alex Malitas | Newsclips

The Fed Won’t Get Their Soft Landing Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Where Are Valuations Now? Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

How Credit Trades and What It Is Signaling Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

The Fed Has No Choice – Ukraine Edition
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Yield Curve Continues to Flatten
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Two Investor Types in the Market
Posted By Alex Malitas | Newsclips

The Fed Won’t Get Their Soft Landing
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Where Are Valuations Now?
Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

How Credit Trades and What It Is Signaling
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips