Tag Archives: Markets
Cot Commentary: Large Specs Ditching Gold Into the 2025 Rally
Posted By Alex Malitas
The Commitments of Traders report allows investors to gauge position changes for different groups of traders/investors. ... Read More
Conference Call Replay – Are We Going to Have a Recession?
Actual, hard economic data is giving little cause for concern and risk markets are clawing their way higher. Soft survey data, on the other hand, is painting a more alarming picture of the future. This puts the Fed in a difficult situation. Join us Thursday as we discuss why the Fed needs to remained focused on their inflation mandate, even if it comes at the cost of a weaker economy.... Read More
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Globalization, Earnings, Fed Cuts/Hikes, Recession Odds
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Impacts of Globalization, Earnings Season Results, Fed Rate Cuts/Hikes, Recession Odds with Charles Payne.... Read More
CoT Commentary: Asset Managers Shed Equity Positions
Posted By Alex Malitas
The Commitments of Traders report allows investors to gauge position changes for different groups of traders/investors. ... Read More
Measuring Tariffs
Posted By Jim Bianco
Tariffs remitted to the Treasury General Account began to surge after Liberation Day.... Read More
Updating the Correlation Between Stocks & Bonds
Posted By Greg Blaha
As pre-Covid data rolls off the five-year window, the long-term correlation between stocks and bonds is turning higher.... Read More
Alternative Measures of the Housing Market
Posted By Greg Blaha
Many metrics of the housing market have returned to pre-pandemic levels. The number of homes sold each month, however, remains depressed.... Read More
The Rise of the Retail Trader
Posted By Alex Malitas
Unlike previous cycles, retail investors hold a much larger sway over markets. Who are retail traders?... Read More
How Could Firing Powell Be Good for the Fed?
Posted By Jim Bianco
The chairman has too much power and the rest of the FOMC voters need to start acting independently. If they did, the Chairman would be just one of 12 votes and not the subject of such intense scrutiny. This would significantly protect the Fed's independence.... Read More
The Economy in 90 Days
Posted By Jim Bianco
The economy is currently performing well according to hard data. However, soft or survey data suggests it will significantly decline in the next 90 days or so. Will it?... Read More
CoT Commentary: No Basis Trade Unwind
The Commitments of Traders report allows investors to gauge position changes for different groups of traders/investors. ... Read More
Financial Conditions & Liquidity During the Selloff
Posted By Alex Malitas
Markets moved in massive ways after Trump's tariff announcement. Financial conditions tightened quickly while Treasury market liquidity remained ample. ... Read More
Homeowners Still Clinging to Their Low Mortgage Rates
Posted By Greg Blaha
As of Q4 2024, roughly 54% of homeowners with a mortgage still had a rate under 4%.... Read More
What Happened to the Fed Put?
Posted By Jim Bianco
For years, markets assumed the Fed would "react" to signs of weakening growth by aggressively cutting rates?the Fed Put. However, fear of tariff-driven inflation is preventing the Fed from acting on weakening growth.... Read More
Jim Bianco on the Schwab Network: Bonds “Center of the Universe,” Investors Will Want to Stock Pick
When it comes to recent price action, Jim Bianco points to bonds as the driving force. He looks at the correlation between stocks and bonds to explain why these market moves occurred. He doesn't expect the broader indices to perform as exceptionally as they did in the past and urges investors to watch for individual stocks and sector themes.... Read More
What Happened to Bonds Last Week?
Posted By Jim Bianco
The move higher in yields was started by the realization that tariff-driven inflation was going to keep the Fed on the sidelines even if the economy sank into a recession.... Read More
How China Might Be Selling U.S. Treasuries
Posted By Jim Bianco
Foreign selling of U.S. Treasuries appears to be coming from Europe, where China custodies some of its holdings of U.S. debt.... Read More
CoT Commentary: Hedge Funds Short Across the Curve
Posted By Alex Malitas
The Commitments of Traders report allows investors to gauge position changes for different groups of traders/investors.... Read More
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to explain what’s going on in the Bond Market
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to explain what?s going on in the Bond Market with David Faber & Sara Eisen.... Read More