Tag Archives: Markets
Profiting From the Commodity Roll
Posted By Greg Blaha
Long-term commodity investors have profited from backwardation over the past year, adding to total returns to a degree rarely seen.... Read More
Housing Falls Further Out of Reach for First-Time Buyers
Posted By Greg Blaha
First-time homebuyers enjoyed a relatively affordable market in the decade following the housing crash. The recent rise in prices and mortgage rates has brought that to an end.... Read More
Sentiment and Positioning in Markets
Posted By Alex Malitas
Last week we heard several individuals express concern over where the US economy was headed. Amid these negative outlooks, traders do not seem positioned for a severe downturn in the economy.... Read More
Has the Growth vs Inflation Script Flipped?
Posted By Jim Bianco
The economy can fall off a cliff, but if we continue to see positive job growth, the Fed will keep hiking until inflation stalls.... Read More
Why Are Gas Prices Soaring?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Demand is up, refining capacity is falling, imports are hard to come by, and China and Air Travel are expected to increase.... Read More
Hope for Transitory Inflation Continues
Posted By Jim Bianco
Inflation is not going down without extreme policy intervention to force it lower. It is not going down by itself. And that extreme policy has a high probability of causing a recession.... Read More
Profiling the Mutual Fund & ETF Universe
Posted By Greg Blaha
56% of households owning mutual funds make more than $100k per year.... Read More
The Divide Between Active and Passive Fund Fees
Posted By Greg Blaha
Active equity funds continue to charge 10x the fees of passive equity funds.... Read More
Breaking Down Retirement Assets
Posted By Greg Blaha
Over a third of U.S. households own an IRA. The difference in ownership between the highest and lowest income buckets is staggering.... Read More
Government vs. Prime Money Market Fund Holdings
Posted By Greg Blaha
A look at the holdings of government-only money market funds versus prime money market funds... Read More
Good News Is Now Bad News
Posted By Jim Bianco
For the time being, the labor market is giving the Fed the cover it needs to tighten financial conditions. This essentially means it is allowing stocks to falter in order to rein in demand and inflation. The payrolls report may have taken a back seat to inflation releases, but it will nonetheless play a part in determining how aggressively the Fed will proceed in its fight against inflation.... Read More
Explaining the Growth of the Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility
Posted By Jim Bianco
The Federal Reserve's reverse repo facility is now the parking spot for over $2 trillion. This acts as another version of tightening as the Fed is getting ready to start quantitative tightening.... Read More
Implied vs. Realized Volatility
Posted By Alex Malitas
The end of bear markets tend to exhibit heightened volatility and increased trading volumes. Despite significant selling pressure in recent weeks, volatility indices do not indicate panic. Given this, it is important to note the connection between implied and realized volatility in markets.... Read More
Checking on Retail Investors
Posted By Alex Malitas
Retail traders and dip buyers dominated the markets in 2020 and 2021. The current bear market has dented those groups' conviction, but not yet to the point of capitulation.... Read More
Are the Markets ‘Oversold’?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Bull markets rarely get overbought ... TINA, FOMO, and BTD. Bear markets are the opposite, they rarely get oversold, and "tradable lows" are all but impossible to measure with bull market metrics. ... Read More
The Treasury’s Interest Costs
Posted By Greg Blaha
How much have higher yields affected the Treasury's interest expenses?... Read More