Tag Archives: Markets

Markets

Why Rates Can Still Move Higher
Posted By Jim Bianco  |  Featured, Newsclips

Without any direct evidence of a worsening economy or a financial accident, such as plunging stock prices, both the long- and short-end of the yield curve can continue to shift higher. With the forward curve projecting a fed funds terminal rate of 5%, history suggests the 2-year yield should go above this level.... Read More

Markets

Dominant Retail Options Traders Load Up On Puts
Posted By Alex Malitas  |  Featured, Newsclips

Total options volume has soared since the end of 2019 as retail traders have become dominant in using short-dated (less than a week) options as speculative tools. With the macroeconomic backdrop constantly changing, they bounce back and forth between puts and calls, This is amplifying volatility in markets.... Read More

Markets

Can the Stock Market Handle Higher Yields?
Posted By Jim Bianco  |  Featured, Newsclips

Rising yields are taking their toll on the S&P 500, so much so that stocks are currently more volatile than Bitcoin. Without a Fed pivot in sight, stocks may have to have a sharp correction before yields stop moving higher.... Read More

Markets

Equity Market Concerns
Posted By Alex Malitas  |  Featured, Newsclips

The extreme pace of global central bank tightening is causing turmoil across all financial markets. Much of the focus is on the "liquidity hole" in the bond market, however equity markets are showing cracks. ... Read More

Markets

The Case for Higher Rates From Here
Posted By Jim Bianco  |  Featured, Newsclips

As the Fed hikes and short rates increase, long rates should get dragged higher. Economic data would need to weaken meaningfully to change this outlook.... Read More

Markets

What’s Missing From the Fed’s Argument
Posted By Jim Bianco  |  Featured, Newsclips

The Fed has been explicit in their goal to continue raising rates, but the markets are still hoping for a pivot. Behind this tension is a disagreement about the long-term outlook for inflation. Is it persistent?... Read More

Markets

The 10-Year Note Goes Streaking
Posted By Jim Bianco  |  Featured, Newsclips

10-year yields are up nine straight weeks, the longest such streak in over 28 years. History shows this type of rise in yields typically proves detrimental for the stock market.... Read More

Markets

Bond Market Trouble
Posted By Jim Bianco  |  Featured, Newsclips

The bond market suffers from high volatility, illiquidity, stress, and record losses. These problems are spilling over into the currency and stock markets. ... Read More

Markets

Buy-and-Hold Investors Keeping the Market Afloat
Posted By Alex Malitas  |  Featured, Newsclips

Equity markets have yet to show full panic even as macro headwinds grow. With flows and volatility showing no signs of capitulation, we are unlikely at a bottom until positioning shifts.... Read More

Markets

What Is Breaking?
Posted By Jim Bianco  |  Featured, Newsclips

The labor market is not showing signs of faltering, which is only adding to fears the Fed will continue hiking. Stress is showing in the markets, however.... Read More