Tag Archives: Markets

Markets

Are Rates Too High?

It is widely believed high rates will lead to at least an economic slowdown ("soft landing") if not a recession ("hard landing"). But what if rates are not that restrictive? The economy could weather these rates ("no landing") and it would take even higher rates to pull the economy down.... Read More

Markets

Updating the Yen Carry Trade

Inflation in Japan is reaching 40+ year highs. Now that the country has effectively raised the upper limit to its yield curve control, rates are heading higher. Given they are the largest foreign owner of US Treasuries, more attractive Japanese yields are negative for the US bond market. A significantly weaker yen/stronger dollar could change traders opinions, but this is not happening yet.... Read More