Tag Archives: Markets
Why Is RRP Falling?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Money parked in the Federal Reserve's reverse repo facility is shrinking again as money fund managers extend maturity to hold onto 5%+ yield as long as possible. This move is being driven by the belief that the Fed is finally going to start cutting rates, not some ominous sign that the financial system's plumbing is at risk.... Read More
Conference Call Replay & Notes – Is Volatility Being Driven By Financial or Economic Factors?
Financial market volatility has spiked in the last few weeks. We argue this has been driven more by financial stress around the Bank of Japan?s surprise rate hike last week than the prospect of the economy sinking into recession.... Read More
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
Posted By Greg Blaha
Today's topics include has the Yen carry trade been completely unwound?, the odds of another BoJ rate hike, the odds of an emergency Fed rate cut, a soft landing, checking in on sentiment after a rocky week, a lack of liquidity, a historical look at stocks after the VIX spikes, the moral hazard facing central banks, tech valuations, covered call ETFs, searching for neutral, and OPEC's price targets... Read More
Jim Bianco discusses Recent Market Volatility, Mixed Economic Signals & Bond Market Liquidity
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Recent Market Volatility, Mixed Economic Signals & Bond Market Liquidity with Charles Payne.... Read More
How Stressed Are Markets?
Posted By Alex Malitas
Monday's selloff in equities and massive bond rally indicated that, after minimal volatility so far in 2024, the interconnectedness of global markets poses upside risks to volatility.... Read More
Tracking the Unwind
Posted By Jim Bianco
JP Morgan suggests the speculative carry trade is only half unwound. The exchange rate between the yen and peso is one market to monitor closely.... Read More
Are These Markets Financially or Economically Driven?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Not all sharp moves in financial markets are driven by rapid changes in the economic outlook. Unexpected changes in the financial structure of the markets can also force repricing. The most recent move in the markets has been driven by the Bank of Japan's larger-than-expected hike last week, leading to a subsequent unwind of the yen carry trade.... Read More
The TBAC Tweaks Its Stance on T-Bill Issuance
Posted By Greg Blaha
As part of this week's Quarterly Refunding Announcement, the TBAC conducted a study on the optimal level of T-bill issuance as a percentage of total Treasury issuance.... Read More
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Soft vs No Landing, Employment Data & the Market Rotation
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the difference between a Soft and No Landing, various employment data & the current stock market rotation with Charles Payne.... Read More
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Soft vs No Landing, Employment Data & the Market Rotation
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the difference between a Soft and No Landing, various employment data & the current stock market rotation with Charles Payne.... Read More
Another Way to View the Odds of a September Cut
Posted By Greg Blaha
Although traders are pricing in near 100% odds of a September rate cut, their predictive ability this far out makes this far from a done deal.... Read More
Are Financial Conditions Tight?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Markets are roaring ahead as financial conditions are measured as easy. Lowering rates in this environment will only push financial markets to even easier, even to outright bubble conditions.... Read More
Small & Large Options Traders Accelerated Bullish Bets Into Selloff
Posted By Alex Malitas
Bullish option trading strategies accelerated significantly as the rotation to small caps took hold.... Read More
Alternative Measures of the Housing Market
Posted By Greg Blaha
A record high percentage of home sellers had to drop their listing price in June. Other measures suggest the housing market is a bit of a mixed bag currently.... Read More
Jim Bianco joined Bloomberg & Fox Business to discuss the Election Betting Markets, the Trump/Powell Trade & the Rotation into Small Caps
Jim Bianco joined Bloomberg & Fox Business to discuss the Election Betting Markets, the Trump/Powell Trade & the Rotation into Small Caps with Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz & Annmarie Hordern of Bloomberg, along with Charles Payne of Fox Business.... Read More
Is the Economy Surging Again?
Posted By Jim Bianco
The most interesting question going into next week is whether the U.S. economy is picking up.... Read More
Bianco Research Conference Call Replay & Notes: “The Economy and the Election”
Mixed economic data continues whipsawing the markets with payrolls coming in stronger than expected and inflation coming in lower than expected. Meanwhile, a crazy election cycle has yet to move the markets in any meaningful way.... Read More