Tag Archives: Markets

May 24, 2018

Markets

Strength and Agreement Pervasive at Fed
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Newsclips

Uncertainty reflected by both Fed officials and markets over tightening policy has become ultra-low. The Fed is transitioning away from not only financial stability concerns, but also employment in general. The consumer's ability to remain healthy and spend will dictate policy.... Read More

Markets

Falling Interest in Rental Housing Bearish for Metals, Staples
Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

Declining search traffic for rental housing is bearish for industrial metals and a number of typically non-cyclical industries in the S&P 500. ... Read More

May 23, 2018

Markets

High Yield ETF Volume and Flows Update
Posted By Ryan Malo | Charts of the Week

An updated look at high yield ETFs... Read More

Markets

Investment Grade ETF Volume and Flows Update
Posted By Ryan Malo | Charts of the Week

An updated look at investment grade ETFs... Read More

Markets

Percolating Uncertainty Across EM Likely to Boil Over
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Emerging markets have broken out to heightened levels of uncertainty regarding central bank actions and currency returns. We believe ulta-low concern from the FOMC, ECB, and BoJ will not last, meaning U.S. 10-year yields could very well make a return to sub 3.00% in the near-term.... Read More

May 22, 2018

Markets

Goodbye, Fed Put and Hello, Trump Put
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

The Fed put may very well have been replaced by a Trump put. Investors appears pre-programmed to anticipate a run of unfavorable news coverage of Trump will be corrected in the days and weeks ahead. Small caps and technology equities have greatly out-performed following these periods of unfavorable Trump-related news trends.... Read More

Markets

Can Leveraged Loans Keep Up the Pace?
Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

Leveraged loans are booming as investors chase higher yields and position for rising rates. Bond market volatility needs to rise for leveraged loans to keep outperforming high yield bonds. ... Read More

May 21, 2018

Markets

Worsening Consumer Trends Reflect Rising Delinquency Rates
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Google search trends are reflecting a rise in consumer stress and waning spending patterns. Forecasts show delinquencies across the top 100 banks could rise from 2.5% to 3.7% in the year ahead. Defensive sectors should provide better shelter than banks and diversified financials.... Read More

Markets

Insurance an Option as Storm Builds for Banks
Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

U.S. bank equities face rising headwinds from weaker consumers, rising uncertainty, and slowing growth. The insurance sector is better positioned to ride out the storm. ... Read More

May 18, 2018

Bonds

CoT Detail: Interest Rates
Posted By Ryan Malo | COT Update

A breakdown of the COT data for interest rates... Read More

Markets

Extreme CoT Charts
COT Update

Charts that are near extremes and caught our eye this week.... Read More

Markets

Separating Wheat from Chaff in Emerging Markets
Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

Regional economic growth, commodity performance and trade uncertainty have Brazil standing out from its peers. ... Read More

May 17, 2018

Markets

No Interest in Non-Cyclicals
Posted By Peter Forbes | Featured, Newsclips

Margin compression fears are adding to the woes of underperforming consumer staples. Expectations for rising Treasury yields will likely keep ETF investors looking elsewhere. ... Read More

May 16, 2018

Markets

Foreigners Sold A Large Sum Of U.S. Equities In March
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

An overview of foreign net purchases of U.S. Treasuries, agencies, corporates and equities... Read More

Markets

Stock Returns Since The Election – Financials Up 45%
Charts of the Week

Stock total returns since the election. ... Read More

Markets

Bond Returns Since The Election – High Yield Up 10%
Charts of the Week

Bond total returns since the election. ... Read More

Markets

Commodity Returns Since The Election – Energy Up 25%
Charts of the Week

Commodity returns since the election. ... Read More

Markets

Investors Unexpectedly Commit to Higher U.S. Headline Inflation
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

U.S. Treasury volatility may be ultra-low, but investors have finally committed to headline inflation running above 2.0% for the first time since 2014. U.S. 10-year yields are the highest across developed economies due to improving inflation momentum. But, investors must become believers in 2.5+% headline inflation to support a Fed hoping to hike another three to four times.... Read More

May 15, 2018

Markets

Break in the Clouds May Not Last for Emerging Markets
Posted By Peter Forbes | Featured, Newsclips

Bloomberg – This ETF Is Flashing a Buy Sign for Emerging-Market Dollar Bonds Call it a hate-love relationship. Investors are piling into the biggest proxy for emerging-market hard currency bonds, barely a month after they were spooked into a selloff by... Read More

May 14, 2018

Markets

Waning Consumer Search Trends Not Jiving with Sky-high Survey Results
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Newsclips

Consumer search trends are seeing an unfavorable shift in contrast to still sky-high sentiment found within traditional surveys. U.S. 10-year yields have historically struggled to rise under depressing consumer trends. Additionally, TIPS underperform, meaning TIPS breakevens should face headwinds. Remember, TIPS breakevens have been steering Federal Reserve policy in 2017 and 2018.... Read More

Strength and Agreement Pervasive at Fed Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Newsclips

Falling Interest in Rental Housing Bearish for Metals, Staples Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

High Yield ETF Volume and Flows Update Posted By Ryan Malo | Charts of the Week

Investment Grade ETF Volume and Flows Update Posted By Ryan Malo | Charts of the Week

Percolating Uncertainty Across EM Likely to Boil Over Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Goodbye, Fed Put and Hello, Trump Put Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Can Leveraged Loans Keep Up the Pace? Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

Worsening Consumer Trends Reflect Rising Delinquency Rates Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Insurance an Option as Storm Builds for Banks Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

CoT Detail: Interest Rates Posted By Ryan Malo | COT Update

Extreme CoT Charts COT Update

Separating Wheat from Chaff in Emerging Markets Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

No Interest in Non-Cyclicals Posted By Peter Forbes | Featured, Newsclips

Foreigners Sold A Large Sum Of U.S. Equities In March Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Stock Returns Since The Election – Financials Up 45% Charts of the Week

Bond Returns Since The Election – High Yield Up 10% Charts of the Week

Commodity Returns Since The Election – Energy Up 25% Charts of the Week

Investors Unexpectedly Commit to Higher U.S. Headline Inflation Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Break in the Clouds May Not Last for Emerging Markets Posted By Peter Forbes | Featured, Newsclips

Waning Consumer Search Trends Not Jiving with Sky-high Survey Results Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Newsclips

Strength and Agreement Pervasive at Fed
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Newsclips

Falling Interest in Rental Housing Bearish for Metals, Staples
Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

High Yield ETF Volume and Flows Update
Posted By Ryan Malo | Charts of the Week

Investment Grade ETF Volume and Flows Update
Posted By Ryan Malo | Charts of the Week

Percolating Uncertainty Across EM Likely to Boil Over
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Goodbye, Fed Put and Hello, Trump Put
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Can Leveraged Loans Keep Up the Pace?
Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

Worsening Consumer Trends Reflect Rising Delinquency Rates
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Insurance an Option as Storm Builds for Banks
Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

CoT Detail: Interest Rates
Posted By Ryan Malo | COT Update

Extreme CoT Charts
COT Update

Separating Wheat from Chaff in Emerging Markets
Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

No Interest in Non-Cyclicals
Posted By Peter Forbes | Featured, Newsclips

Foreigners Sold A Large Sum Of U.S. Equities In March
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Stock Returns Since The Election – Financials Up 45%
Charts of the Week

Bond Returns Since The Election – High Yield Up 10%
Charts of the Week

Commodity Returns Since The Election – Energy Up 25%
Charts of the Week

Investors Unexpectedly Commit to Higher U.S. Headline Inflation
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Break in the Clouds May Not Last for Emerging Markets
Posted By Peter Forbes | Featured, Newsclips

Waning Consumer Search Trends Not Jiving with Sky-high Survey Results
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Newsclips