Tag Archives: Markets

June 26, 2018

Markets

Investors New Love Affair With Cash
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Investors are no longer seeking intermediate to long-term U.S. treasuries during period of turmoil, but turning heavily to cash equivalents. Short-term governments are accruing 33 cents for every $1 of buying across major asset classes. Long-term yields are stuck in limbo until inflation and wage pressures truly brew and/or economic data outside the U.S. rebounds from a Q1/Q2 retreat.... Read More

Markets

What We’re Reading
Newsclips

New Way To Measure Inflation? Bloomberg.com – Fed’s Bostic to Hear Case for Excluding Housing From Inflation Paper says home prices make Fed policy look easier than it is Advocacy group will present findings to Bostic on Thursday Federal Reserve Bank... Read More

June 25, 2018

Markets

Eurozone Economy Set to Converge to U.S.
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Eurozone economic momentum has finally reached an extreme relative to the United States. Ever-widening spreads between U.S. treasuries and developed sovereigns will likely face headwinds. But, EURUSD has further room for downside until this gap in economic momentum closes.... Read More

Markets

Conference Call Transcript – Was 3.11% The High Water Mark for the 10-Year Yield?
Newsclips

View PDF The handout, audio replay and webinar replay of our June 21, 2018 conference call titled Was 3.11% The High Water Mark for the 10-Year Yield?can be found below. The handout can be found here (starts with the second... Read More

Markets

What We’re Reading
Newsclips

Today's topics include trade, algo trading, the BIS, EM trouble, conflicting views on stocks, earnings, indices and disrupting investment banking. ... Read More

June 23, 2018

Markets

Weekly Digest June 18 – June 22, 2018
Weekly Digest

Our top posts from this past week. ... Read More

June 22, 2018

Markets

CoT Detail: Interest Rates
COT Update

A detailed look at the interest rate contracts in the CoT report. ... Read More

Markets

Extreme and Popular CoT Charts
COT Update

Charts that are near extremes and the most popular contracts that caught our eye this week.... Read More

Markets

Conference Call Replay – Was 3.11% The High Water Mark for the 10-Year Yield?
Newsclips

A replay of our June 21, 2018 conference call. ... Read More

Markets

U.S. Treasuries Have Reached Peak Boredom
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

U.S. Treasury volatility has reached an all-time low along with core inflation, dispersion of economic leading indicators, and monetary policy uncertainty. ... Read More

June 21, 2018

Markets

Demographics Helping Dictate Long-end Yields Across EM
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Demographics are an increasingly important issue impacting long-end yields across emerging markets.... Read More

Markets

Walmart Levers Up as It Falls Behind
Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

Walmart managed to raise cash for its deal but is falling further behind its peers. ... Read More

June 20, 2018

Markets

Conference Call Replay – Was 3.11% The High Water Mark for the 10-Year Yield?
Client Conference Calls

The handout, audio replay and webinar replay of our June 21, 2018 conference call titled Was 3.11% The High Water Mark for the 10-Year Yield?can be found below. The handout can be found here (starts with the second post). The... Read More

Markets

Economic Opinion
Client Conference Calls

The economy is in great shape. If you look at household surveys, confidence is high. In businesses, confidence is high. If you survey workers about the job market, they will say it is a good environment to find jobs. Businesses... Read More

Markets

Economic Reality
Client Conference Calls

Markets

Fed Walking the Line, but U.S. 10-year Stuck
Client Conference Calls

In the U.S. we continue to watch how well the Fed?s target rate tracks the so-called reversal rate. The reversal rate is the level most likely to keep deposits and lending growth and financial leverage near equilibrium, meaning not too... Read More

Markets

How The Curve Inverts
Client Conference Calls

Markets

About The Fed
Client Conference Calls

Markets

Tariffs Dominating Headlines, but NOT Markets
Client Conference Calls

The chart below shows Google search trends (global) for policy concerns ranging from national security to central banks. Trade policy shown in green has clearly risen to the greatest policy concern, while monetary policy remains quite tempered. Tariff... Read More

Markets

U.S. 10-year Yields Top Dog, but Will Struggle to Break 3.0%
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

U.S. 10-year yields are rarely capable of remaining above other developed economies for extended periods of time. But, U.S. 10-year yields will struggle to push well above the 3.0% threshold given a deteriorating global outlook and extreme consumer confidence.... Read More

Investors New Love Affair With Cash Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Eurozone Economy Set to Converge to U.S. Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

U.S. Treasuries Have Reached Peak Boredom Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Demographics Helping Dictate Long-end Yields Across EM Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Walmart Levers Up as It Falls Behind Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

U.S. 10-year Yields Top Dog, but Will Struggle to Break 3.0% Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Investors New Love Affair With Cash
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Eurozone Economy Set to Converge to U.S.
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

U.S. Treasuries Have Reached Peak Boredom
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Demographics Helping Dictate Long-end Yields Across EM
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips

Walmart Levers Up as It Falls Behind
Posted By Peter Forbes | Newsclips

U.S. 10-year Yields Top Dog, but Will Struggle to Break 3.0%
Posted By Ben Breitholtz | Featured, Newsclips