Tag Archives: Markets
U.S. 10-Year Yield Looking to Break-out, Eyes on Interest Rate Sensitive Industries
Posted By Ben Breitholtz
U.S. 10-year yields and term premium are setting records for the longest period of ultra-tight trading ranges. Nominal yields are again looking to break out, which should place focus on investment grade industries with high sensitivities.... Read More
170 Years of U.S. Hurricanes In Perspective
Posted By Jim Bianco
A look at 170 years of hurricane data in the United States... Read More
Extreme and Popular CoT Charts
Popular and extreme charts from the latest CoT report.... Read More
Headwinds for Retail
Posted By Peter Forbes
Expectations for retail sales remain high. We see continued tailwinds for home improvement and consumer services, but policy uncertainty and falling interest in consumer borrowing are key risks. ... Read More
What We’re Reading
Posted By Ryan Malo
Today's topics in the Federal Reserve, tariffs, boring markets, Bernanke admits to some mistakes, why stocks could go much higher, more on the financial crisis, the ECB, crude oil and hurricane Florence and the return of Jeff Skilling. ... Read More
Economic Divergence Turns to Convergence
Posted By Ben Breitholtz
Economic growth divergence has taken a turn to convergence. Developed economies outside the U.S. playing catch-up should keep a lid on the U.S. dollar.... Read More
Gold, Cyclical Sectors to Benefit if Dollar Slips
Gold and cyclical sectors of the S&P 500 have seen tighter ties with the U.S. dollar?s fortunes lately and would stand to benefit if the dollar heads lower. ... Read More
The Macro World Of Options Trading
Posted By Jim Bianco
Updating a look at macro options volume on the CBOE.... Read More
High Yield ETF Volume and Flows Update
Posted By Ryan Malo
An updated look at high yield ETFs.... Read More
Waiting… and Waiting for U.S. 10-Year Yields to Break-out
Posted By Ben Breitholtz
U.S. 10-year note yields are enduring one of their tightest trading ranges in history with an eventual breakout expected to send waves across all markets. Investor's fear of inflation, which is again very low, dictates the direction and magnitude of reactions.... Read More
CoT Detail: 10-Year Treasury Large Specs At A Net Short Extreme Position Once Again
10-year specs are at an extreme net-short position once again. ... Read More
Extreme and Popular CoT Charts
Popular and extreme charts from the latest CoT report. ... Read More
U.S. 10-Year Note Set to Cheapen on Curve
Posted By Ben Breitholtz
Rate hike timing for the Federal Reserve will remain elevated given strong wage gains and overall U.S. economy. However a closing gap between economic performance of the U.S. and other developed economies suggest U.S. 10-year notes will finally cheapen on the curve.... Read More
Australia Stalling as Trade Tensions Ratchet Higher
Posted By Peter Forbes
Tighter ties to emerging economies in Southeast Asia have been the thorn in the Australian dollar's side since May. The case for a bounce is wanting.... Read More
If You Can Stand the Heat
Posted By Peter Forbes
Away from Turkey, emerging markets in eastern Europe and the Middle East are outperforming as Turkey flounders. So far, taking the risk that problems will stay contained is paying off. ... Read More
Global Realized Growth on the Fence, but Surprises on the Rebound
Posted By Ben Breitholtz
Emerging markets and industrial metals stand to benefit with a return of economic data beats across the globe.... Read More
Diversification Makes a Comeback
Posted By Ben Breitholtz
The longest stretch on record of positive correlations among major asset classes is ending.... Read More