Today's topics include Dudley on the neutral rate, analysts cutting price targets, utility bills on the rise, global inflation, chances of a soft landing, household debt ballooning, Waller comments, arguing against bond bulls, trouble in China, Terra breaks the peg, and on bitcoin... Read More
Today's topics include financial stability, the yield curve as a recession signal, Williams makes the case for a soft landing, Cathie Wood back to square one, tech valuations, the real funds rate, record gas prices, China's lockdowns, and yesterday's wild ride in cryptoland... Read More
Today's topics include Kashkari on the Fed's demand destruction, the bond market's losses, Shanghai adds tougher lockdowns, watch refining margins, bank profitability as rates rise, gold as a hedge, retail traders back to square one, stock market bearishness, and factor investing... Read More
Today's topics include problems in markets?, more on Musk and Wood's comments on passive investing, action needed by the ECB, disappointing economic growth, Clarida calls for 3.5% fed funds, mortgage rates surge, Tokyo inflation, BoE warns of coming recession, stablecoin regulation, and crypto jobs.... Read More
Today's topics include the Fed's dovish 50 basis point hike, understanding Fedspeak, the terminal funds rate, holding on to the transitory narrative too long, searching for yield, will we see 3% unemployment this year?, the post-pandemic norm, Elon & Cathie make the case for active management, buy the dip?, and European power prices continue higher... Read More
Today's topics include about that 75 basis point hike in June..., Hong Kong's currency peg, Minerd calls the end of the bond bull, trade deficit grows, job openings remain abundant, Quarles predicts recession & plays the blame game, the death of negative-yielding bonds, diesel supply running low, and china taking discounted Russian oil... Read More
Today's topics include the Fed & credit, what to watch for in tomorrow's FOMC meeting, tightening in progress, RIP to the Fed put, used car prices rebound, the dollar's effect on other countries, the 60/40 portfolio offers no shelter from losses, housing's role in Fed tightening, the bear case, Russia avoids default for now, tech profitability, and ETH's gas fees spike for a brief period... Read More
Today's topics include cruel spring, yen weakness, expect a big move this week, stagflation threat, the carnage in markets will define 2022, the supply/demand story, easy money ends, Buffett criticizes casino market, and crypto & the dollar... Read More
Today's topics include real wages, Eurozone weakness, looking for the good news in GDP, ECB versus BOE on rates, is the Fed planning to front-load hikes?, is China in economic trouble?, the shift in spending, and real estate as inflation protection... Read More
Today's topics include stocks' slide helping the Fed's tightening, the BOJ goes all in on yield curve control, supply shocks & inflation, retail crowd's meme obsession was costly, Russian gas sanctions, inflation hitting personal finances, bonds' bad month, GDP contracts in Q1, and crypto mortgages.... Read More
Today's topics include selling Russian energy, supersized rate hikes, quantifying the losses in tech stocks, rising food costs, the dollar's rise, Brainard confirmed as vice chairwoman, an eye on the yuan, Chinese GDP vs. U.S. GDP, and the Fed's reverse wealth effect.... Read More
Today's topics include finding a soft landing, China maintains accommodative policy as world turns hawkish, how will the BoJ handle a weaker yen?, consumer health, higher rates bring both good & bad outcomes to European banks, supply chain issues persist, crypto in a 401k?, and Dudley on crypto regulation... Read More
Today's topics include controlling the inflation narrative, concerns over a lockdown in Beijing, wage inflation, will stock valuations follow bonds?, the logistics of Russian sanctions, bank savings rates remain low, work from home, off-hours trading, and checking in on the supply chain... Read More
Today's topics include reasons to worry about inflation, reasons not to worry about inflation, an eye on the yuan & capital outflows from China, the growth of central banks' balance sheets, quantifying the effect of an EU gas embargo, quantifying the economic effect of China's lockdown, the world's reliance on wheat, the case for continued global supply chains, and an update on Russian oligarchs... Read More
Today's topics include 50 basis point hike almost a certainty at May meeting, should the Fed review its policy framework?, where have all the bulls gone?, measuring Russia's oil shock with satellite images, the technicalities of Russian default, wage inflation, countries diversifying away from the dollar, a weak yen means higher import costs for Japan, European power prices continue rising, and Goldman shows interest in crypto exchange FTX... Read More
Today's topics include yields rise until something breaks, U.S. real yields go positive, central banks' data-dependency, buybacks as a market-timing tool, inflation & debt burdens, anecdotal evidence of a tight labor market, and UN estimates one third of this year's crops won't be harvested in Ukraine... Read More
Today's topics include the Japanese bond market, the odds of a soft landing, U.S. real yields march higher, Bullard pushes back on idea of 75 basis point hike, stock outflows, stock splits for the retail crowd, World Bank may downgrade global economy further, Tesla & ARK, and Russian crude oil flows... Read More
Today's topics include what the future holds with the Fed in control, Russian sanctions, next Bretton Woods, slowing global economic momentum, Chinese GDP surprises to the upside, the market's future, living with high inflation, and stability in crypto... Read More
Today's topics include investing summit, shooting down the idea of a soft landing, the headwinds facing the economy, peak inflation?, unretiring surge, foodflation, amazon passing on rising costs, and supply chain struggles continue... Read More
Today's topics include more on yesterday's CPI release, hawkish talk from Fed officials, how do rate hikes affect labor market supply & demand?, spending cutbacks, shrinking metal supplies, US yields catch up to Chinese yields, jet fuel prices spike, and the dollar as the world's reserve... Read More