Today's topics include watching for fallout from U.S. ratings downgrade, tariffs being passed on to the consumer?, in search of an alternative to the dollar, flows into ex-U.S. stock funds, breaking down banks' unrealized losses, more "wait-and-see" rhetoric from Fed officials, today's 20-year Treasury auction, and global shipping stats
Earnings season is coming to an end with more than 90% of companies reported with over 77% beating expectations. Despite doom and gloom about the economy, Q1 was a strong quarter.
Today's topics include signs of tariff-driven inflation?, Fedspeak & rate cut outlook, where do valuations stand?, how to think about the 'big beautiful bill', more on the U.S. fiscal situation, 'Good volatility' generates returns for traders, past & future perspective on cargo shipments, retail investors won't give up, weak auction in Japan, and the size of the shadow loan market should be watched closely
Yields are heading higher while the probability of a Fed cut is declining. Why is this happening? How does inflation, growth, tariffs, the Moody's downgrade, and the "Big Beautiful Bill" impact the bond market?
The Commitments of Traders report allows investors to gauge position changes for different groups of traders/investors.
Today's topics include Moody's downgrades the US, on valuations & the Mag 7, laying out risks ahead, a new desire for EM exposure, is this is beginning of the end for American college as we knew it?, how will sub-$60 oil impact producers?, breaking down private capital, and a tokenized future?
Today's topics include the Fed's five-year policy review, tracking the x-date, the retail crowd's diamond hands, Fedspeak, the consensus swings to "no recession", stock technicals, today's trade headlines, global shipping plays red light/green light, and gold.
Household debt in the U.S. stood at $18.20 trillion in the first quarter.