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November 19, 2024
The Fed does not understand why long-term yields are rising. For now, it assumes the reason is unrelated to its policy. If they are wrong, more cuts will drive long-term yields higher and drag down the U.S. economy, potentially making matters worse.
Today's topics include sticky housing inflation, alternative inflation metrics, debt-to-income levels decline, big stock fund inflows, looks like another busy week for Powell's PR team, breaking down the federal workforce, suggestions for the Department of Government Efficiency, and BoJ continues to promise rate hikes
Today's topics include talkin' markets, Powell stresses Fed is in no hurry, rising rates in the face of Fed cuts, Fedspeak, cash still piling into money market funds, small-cap stocks, the housing market, and Japan caught between rock & hard place on rates
Small business owners are on the verge of becoming positive about general business conditions for the first time since November 2020. The election results will likely fuel this trend further.
Homebuyers enjoyed a relatively affordable market in the decade following the housing crash. The recent rise in prices and mortgage rates put homeownership out of reach for many prospective first-time buyers.
Since May 2020, foreign-born workers have accounted for over 35% of total employment growth, almost double their share of the labor force.
For the last few decades the U.S. has been in a low interest rate environment where deficit spending would not cause major issues. A 40-year high in inflation and the higher rates that followed are stressing the country's finances.
Animal spirits are alive and well in the crypto universe on hopes a Republican sweep in the election will prove beneficial to future policy.
Are Democrat members of Congress such good investors that they can not only beat Republicans but also do something about 85% of professional investors cannot do, beat the S&P 500?