Charts of the Week
Over 68% of GDP Is Due to Personal Consumption
December 12, 2018
Personal consumption continues to make up a larger portion of U.S. GDP as time progresses.
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Over 40% of FDIC Deposits Are Uninsured
December 12, 2018
Over 40% of FDIC deposits in the U.S. are uninsured.
Charts of the Week
Net Equity Issuance Bounces Back in Q3
December 12, 2018
U.S. companies issued a net $130 billion of equities in the third quarter. This comes on the heels of Q2's record when buybacks and M&A outpaced issuance of new shares by over $1 trillion.
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Roundup
December 12, 2018
Selected charts and excerpts from some of our research over the past week.
Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: BAA Rates Since 1919
December 12, 2018
Moody's BAA yields since 1919
Newsclips
Crude Oil and Inflation Expectations
December 12, 2018
The fall in crude oil prices has wide ramifications for global growth and inflation expectations. If crude prices rebound, do we risk a whipsaw?
Newsclips
Investors Wave Goodbye to the Prospect of Inflation
December 12, 2018
Deflationary fears are dangerously close to reviving on the heels of slowing global growth and tumbling commodity prices.
Newsclips
Inflation Watch – Energy Inflation Still Positive Year-Over-Year
December 12, 2018
Energy inflation is falling fast, but it is still 3.18% higher than it was a year ago.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
December 12, 2018
Today's topics include the odds of a recession, soybeans, stock valuations, more on earnings, T-bill yields, index fund managers are too big for comfort, ten possible "gray swans" in 2019, Trump vs the Fed, negative yielding debt, bitcoin and the crypto trading capital of the world.
Newsclips
Cartoons
December 12, 2018
Newsclips
Are Economists Paying Attention to the Economy?
December 11, 2018
Economists' forecasts are not following decelerating economic data. They remain near peak optimism. Are they paying attention?
Newsclips
This Week Could Make or Break the Fed’s Hope to Tighten into 2019
December 11, 2018
This week's economic data releases have the potential to make or break the Fed's hopes to hike in 2019. U.S. economic data changes are beginning to fall below one-year average growth rates, fulfilling dramatically rising concerns over the path of the U.S. economy.