Today's topics include central bank balance sheets, why politicians should not attack central banks, economists lower rate hike expectations, 10-Year Treasury speculation, US stock outflows accelerate, a better gauge of financial conditions, the US stock market finally stops shrinking, more on bitcoin, the slowing housing market and the skyscraper index.
The Fed is expected to hike next week, but some uncertainty exists. Assuming they raise rates, only one further hike is priced in for the rest of 2019.
Liquidity risks are rising and denting the prospect for continued tightening into 2019. Any rebound in the Fed’s discussion of liquidity and/or global concerns would raise a red flag, likely making 2019 devoid of tightening expectations.
The U.S. financial sector continues to take a beating as concerns over the Treasury curve and financial conditions grow. Is the move overdone and are financials primed to rally in a risk-on move?
Today's topics include corporates' terrible year, recession expectations, China buying U.S. soybeans, corporate debt to GDP, reasons for equity pessimism, reasons for equity optimism, a key analyst removes underweight rating for GE, Volcker taking a swipe at hedge fund managers and the one-year anniversary of Bitcoin's crash.
Private pension funds have much smaller funding gaps than their government counterparts.
Defined benefit plans continue to replaced by IRAs and defined contribution plans.
A look at Treasuries, corporates, agencies, munis and open market paper.
A home may be the biggest purchase most people make in their lives, but households' stock ownership has actually surpassed home equity since the housing crash.
The amount of outstanding private credit in the U.S. experienced a brief decline during the financial crisis, but government debt grew throughout the entire period. Both are now at new highs.