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June 2, 2026
A replay of our June 4, 2026 conference call.
The entire "war rally" in the stock market has been driven by AI. Take out AI, and the rest of the stock market has done little since gasoline started soaring.
The Commitments of Traders report enables investors to track changes in positions among various groups of traders/investors.
Commentary & analysis of selected stories on June 1, 2026
Commentary & analysis of selected stories on May 29, 2026
Volatility has manifested much more in underlying index securities than at the index level and now it's at a new extreme.
Since the start of 2024, momentum stocks have returned north of 27% while every other isolated factor has returned less than 10%.
Spending is now the most concentrated among the wealthy in history
The Confidence Board’s Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) is a model. Its construction and indicators mimic the thinking of many economists and market types. Although this model is incorrect, it remains a valuable tool for understanding the economy.