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Focusing on Tech-heavy, Innovative Emerging Economies

November 15, 2017

Summary Emerging market equities have not yet suffered outflows (ETFs) during this recent risk-off tone. We prefer to focus on tech-heavy, innovative emerging economies to weather any draw-down. Google search trends for each emerging economy are used to estimate relative currency returns. Comment Emerging market debt and currencies peaked around September 8th, 2017, when rate… Continue reading Focusing on Tech-heavy, Innovative Emerging Economies

Newsclips

Technology is Redefining Required Job Skills

November 15, 2017

Bloomberg – Low Unemployment Healing U.S. Job Market’s Ugly Secret Companies looking closely at older workers in quest for talent For all the lip service companies give to family-oriented policies and non-discriminatory hiring, economists find evidence of age bias. People who voluntarily step out of the labor market don’t fare well, either. That might be changing. Federal… Continue reading Technology is Redefining Required Job Skills

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More On The High Yield Selloff

November 15, 2017

Bloomberg Business – Junk-Bond Carnage Left Half the Market Pretty Much Unscathed Spreads on the largest group of bonds in the just-below-investment grade BB category, which accounts for 50 percent of the Bloomberg Global High Yield Corporate Bond Index, merely wobbled. To see more damage, you need to go one ratings category lower. Notes rated B… Continue reading More On The High Yield Selloff

Newsclips

Tech Stocks Rule The Stock Market

November 15, 2017

The Financial Times – Martin Wolf: Taming the masters of the tech universe Examining the macroeconomic impact of the world’s most valuable companies Eight of the world’s most highly valued companies are technology businesses. The combined market capitalisation of these companies is $4.7tn. That is 30 per cent of the combined market capitalisation of the… Continue reading Tech Stocks Rule The Stock Market

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Despite Low Inflation, The Fed Looks To Raise Rates In December

November 15, 2017

The Financial Times – Dallas Fed chief ‘actively considering’ December rate rise Kaplan says tight US job market weighing on decision despite stubbornly low inflation One of the Federal Reserve’s leading doves has said he is “actively considering” backing another increase in short-term interest rates at the central bank’s meeting next month, pointing to the risks that… Continue reading Despite Low Inflation, The Fed Looks To Raise Rates In December

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Treasuries, Financials, Materials Wed to U.S. Dollar Webcast

November 15, 2017

OPEN Treasuries, Financials, Materials Wed to U.S. Dollar In the webcast above, Peter Forbes discusses his recent post titled Treasuries, Financials, Materials Wed to U.S. Dollar.

Newsclips

Central Bankers Defend Their Work

November 15, 2017

The Wall Street Journal – Top Central Bankers Defend Stimulus Efforts Ms. Yellen defended her track record on Tuesday at the ECB’s Central Bank Communications Conference in Frankfurt, arguing that Fed officials’ interest-rate expectations didn’t amount to a policy decision. “I do think market participants are looking for greater certainty about the policy path than central… Continue reading Central Bankers Defend Their Work

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Mohamed El-Erian For Fed Vice Chair?

November 15, 2017

The Wall Street Journal – White House Considers Former Pimco CEO Mohamed El-Erian for Fed Vice Chairman Post In recent years, Mr. El-Erian has voiced somewhat hawkish critiques of the Fed’s policy stance, including decisions to hold interest rates at ultralow levels despite signaling plans to raise them. In recent months, he has suggested that the… Continue reading Mohamed El-Erian For Fed Vice Chair?

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Interpreting The Inverted Yield Curve

November 15, 2017

Bloomberg View – Charles Lieberman: Keep Calm and Stop Worrying About ‘Bondmaggedon’ A flattening or inversion of the yield curve is a weak predictor of recession. Now, the signal provided by the flatter yield curve is even more garbled than usual. The U.S. expansion is far ahead of growth in Europe and Japan, and the European… Continue reading Interpreting The Inverted Yield Curve

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The State Of The Crude Oil Market

November 15, 2017

Bloomberg Business – U.S. to Dominate Oil Markets After Biggest Boom in World History Lower crude prices will help buoy global demand, agency says “The United States will be the undisputed leader of global oil and gas markets for decades to come,” IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said Tuesday in an interview with Bloomberg television. “There’s… Continue reading The State Of The Crude Oil Market

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Saudi Arabia Looks At Commodities Outside Of Oil

November 15, 2017

Bloomberg View – Shelley Goldberg: Saudi Arabia Is Set to Become a Bigger Commodities Player The Saudi government has made a string of bold announcements about plans to diversify its economy away from oil. In August, it began a tourism project consisting of 100 miles of sandy coastline and a 50-island lagoon, which received an… Continue reading Saudi Arabia Looks At Commodities Outside Of Oil

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Household Debt Hits A New Record

November 15, 2017

The Wall Street Journal – U.S. Household Debt Reaches New Record as Some Delinquency Rates Rise Some 4.9% of outstanding debt was delinquent as of Sept. 30, ticking up from three months earlier. Late-payment rates on the whole remain low, but flows into delinquency have risen in recent years for credit-card and auto debt. One continued… Continue reading Household Debt Hits A New Record

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