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The Overlooked Factor That Is Driving Down Interest Rates

December 22, 2017

ETF Daily News – The Real Story Behind Low Interest Rates (TLT) The outlook for historically low interest rates is a top issue for investors. Low rates stem from tepid potential growth and central bank success in achieving predictable, stable inflation. Yet another critical factor is often overlooked in explanations of low interest rates: a structural… Continue reading The Overlooked Factor That Is Driving Down Interest Rates

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Where Are The Stock Market Bears?

December 22, 2017

Bloomberg Markets – Are There Any Stock Bears Left in America? Short Sellers heading for their worst year since 2013 “Morningstar kicked us out of their category,” said Callahan, who helps oversee $2 billion as president at Icon Advisers Inc. in Greenwood Village, Colorado, and hasn’t bet against a stock in two years. “We’re in a… Continue reading Where Are The Stock Market Bears?

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Cartoons

December 22, 2017

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Conference Call Today – Five Themes To Watch In 2018

December 21, 2017

Today at 9:30 AM CT (10:30 AM ET, 7:30 AM PT and 15:30 GMT) Bianco Research, in conjunction with Arbor Research & Trading, will be hosting a webinar/teleconference moderated by Jim Bianco.Please join us Thursday as we discuss things to watch in 2018. 1. When will the record risk-on period end? 2. Will the Fed be forced to… Continue reading Conference Call Today – Five Themes To Watch In 2018

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Sovereigns and Currencies During Risk-Off Cycles

December 21, 2017

Bloomberg – The Global Bond Market Is Having a Lousy Year-End U.S. curve steepens most in a year; German bund yields jump In a few swift moves this week, 10-year Treasury yields smashed above key levels to the highest since March. The yield curve, which had been relentlessly flattening, steepened the most since September 2016, while… Continue reading Sovereigns and Currencies During Risk-Off Cycles

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Equities Shedding Positive Correlation to Inflation Expectations

December 21, 2017

Summary Financial markets are inching closer and closer to fearing inflation with the correlation between inflation expectations and the S&P 500 tumbling like past tightening cycles. We are keeping a close eye on whether or not options markets will rise with TIPS breakevens ahead of or into a favorable seasonal period. Comment Inflation expectations are… Continue reading Equities Shedding Positive Correlation to Inflation Expectations

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Lingering Pipeline Issues Keeping Oil in Backwardation

December 21, 2017

Reuters – UK’s Forties North Sea oil pipeline should fully restart in early Jan One of the biggest and most important oil pipelines in the North Sea, Britain’s Forties pipeline, should restart in early January after repairs of a crack over Christmas, the pipeline’s operator Ineos said on Thursday. “Work on the pipeline is progressing well and… Continue reading Lingering Pipeline Issues Keeping Oil in Backwardation

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Why The New York Fed’s Inflation Gauge Is A Red Herring

December 21, 2017

Bloomberg View – Neil Dutta: New York Fed’s New Inflation Gauge Is a Red Herring If loose financial conditions and stronger growth do little to move prices, the premise of the indicator is flawed. Many investors are worried that an inflation surge is just around the corner, and some have sought confirmation in a new measure… Continue reading Why The New York Fed’s Inflation Gauge Is A Red Herring

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Bonds And The Tax Cuts

December 21, 2017

The Wall Street Journal – Treasury Yields Are on a Roll—Higher U.S. government bond prices fell Wednesday as Congress approved the largest overhaul of the tax code in three decades, pushing yields higher in the latest leg of a multiday surge that comes after months of relative calm. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury… Continue reading Bonds And The Tax Cuts

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Illinois Drops To The Sixth Largest State

December 21, 2017

Chicago Tribune – Illinois drops from the fifth-largest state to No. 6 llinois declined in population again in 2017, losing its spot as the fifth-largest state in the nation to Pennsylvania, according to census data released Wednesday. Illinois lost about 33,700 residents, dropping the total population to 12,802,023, the greatest numeric population… Continue reading Illinois Drops To The Sixth Largest State

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Defaults On Subprime Auto Loans Are Back

December 21, 2017

Bloomberg Business – Subprime Auto Defaults Are Soaring, and PE Firms Have No Way Out In the years after the financial crisis, buyout firms poured billions into auto finance, angling for the big profits that come with offering high-interest loans to buyers with the weakest credit. At rates of 11 percent or more, there was plenty… Continue reading Defaults On Subprime Auto Loans Are Back

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Investing In Treasuries Over Cryptos And FAANG Stocks

December 21, 2017

MarketWatch – If you want to get rich, invest in Treasury bills, not FAANG stocks or bitcoin Demand curves are usually downward-sloping. That’s because people will buy more of a product when it is cheaper and less of it when it is more expensive. Some things, such as stocks and especially bitcoin, have upward-sloping demand curves, which… Continue reading Investing In Treasuries Over Cryptos And FAANG Stocks

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