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Conference Call Thursday: Inflation, The Yield Curve & Earnings

January 10, 2018

On Thursday, January 11, 2018 at 9:00 AM CT (10:00 AM ET, 7:00 AM PT and 15:00 GMT) Bianco Research, in conjunction with Arbor Research & Trading, will be hosting a webinar/teleconference moderated by Jim Bianco. Join us Thursday as we discuss three interrelated issues that will help determine where the markets are heading in… Continue reading Conference Call Thursday: Inflation, The Yield Curve & Earnings

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Proposed Changes To Treasury Issuance Would Favor Flatter Curve

January 10, 2018

Next month's update from the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee could have substantial implications for the Treasury curve.

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China’s Selling of USTs Would Not be the Catalyst for a Bear Market

January 10, 2018

Bloomberg – China Weighs Slowing or Halting Purchases of U.S. Treasuries Officials have recommended slowing or halting purchases China added to bond investors’ jitters on Wednesday as traders braced for what they feared could be the end of a three-decade bull market. Senior government officials in Beijing reviewing the nation’s foreign-exchange holdings have recommended slowing… Continue reading China’s Selling of USTs Would Not be the Catalyst for a Bear Market

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As Goes The Week, So Goes The Year?

January 10, 2018

The Wall Street Journal – Fast Start for Stocks Is Good Omen for 2018 The stock market had a blowout start to the year. In just four days, the S&P 500 rose 2.6%, its best week since the end of 2016. That’s a good omen for the rest of 2018. When the benchmark is up… Continue reading As Goes The Week, So Goes The Year?

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Can Central Banks Talk Too Much?

January 10, 2018

The Wall Street Journal – The Fed Just Can’t Quit Its Forward Guidance Habit Markets now rely on hints from central bankers, a clever art from an institution that used to speak with one voice. While central banks have used forms of forward guidance for a while, the halcyon days have unquestionably been in the post-2008 era. Despite… Continue reading Can Central Banks Talk Too Much?

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Is The VIX Being Gamed?

January 10, 2018

Bloomberg Business – Is the VIX Being Gamed? A Sudden Swoon Has Traders Talking Again It made for quite a chart. On the morning of Dec. 20, just as billions of dollars of futures tied to the Cboe Volatility Index were set to expire, the index plunged. The result was a settlement price, a weekly value… Continue reading Is The VIX Being Gamed?

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Earnings And The New Tax Law

January 10, 2018

The Wall Street Journal – What the Tax Law Will Do to Bank Earnings It is going to be a noisy quarter for bank earnings. Because of the tax-overhaul law, big banks are going to record a host of special charges that cut into fourth-quarter profit. How big is the bill? Five of the biggest U.S.… Continue reading Earnings And The New Tax Law

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The Dollar And Stocks

January 10, 2018

Bloomberg View – Ben Emons: Dollar May Hold the Key to the Global Rally in Stocks Dollar May Hold the Key to the Global Rally in Stocks Stock markets started the year on a strong note, and everyone seems to be asking the same question: How much more can high-risk assets appreciate? The dollar may provide… Continue reading The Dollar And Stocks

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More On The S&P 500 Dividend Yield Falling Below The 2-year Yield

January 10, 2018

The Financial Times – Charts that matter: S&P 500 dividend yield drops below bond benchmark At this juncture, the case for stocks appears reasonably fair and better than owning Treasuries, and it shouldn’t spur yield seekers such as retirees to switch towards bonds. The S&P dividend aristocrats — or the 50 blue-chip companies that have… Continue reading More On The S&P 500 Dividend Yield Falling Below The 2-year Yield

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10-Year Yields On The Rise

January 10, 2018

The Wall Street Journal – Optimistic Investors Send 10-Year Treasury Yield Above 2.5% The 10-year inflation break-even rate, which reflects the yield premium on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note over the comparable Treasury inflation-protected security, topped 2% last week for the first time in more than nine months, according to Thomson Reuters . In early trading Tuesday, it was… Continue reading 10-Year Yields On The Rise

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U.S. Crude Production Set To Rise

January 10, 2018

The Financial Times – US oil output to reach 11m barrels a day by end of 2019 – EIA US crude oil production is expected to top 11m barrels per day by the end of 2019, the government forecast Tuesday, breaking previous records as higher petroleum prices trigger a drilling revival in shale fields. The Energy… Continue reading U.S. Crude Production Set To Rise

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Switzerland’s Central Bank Made A Massive Profit Last Year

January 10, 2018

The Wall Street Journal – Switzerland’s Central Bank Made $55 Billion Last Year—More Than Apple Switzerland got a lot wealthier in 2017, thanks to its central bank’s emergence as a major money manager with a nearly $800 billion portfolio of foreign stocks and bonds. The Swiss National Bank said Tuesday it expects to report a record annual profit… Continue reading Switzerland’s Central Bank Made A Massive Profit Last Year

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