Newsclips
Gold ETF Investors Turn Bullish Again
February 15, 2018
Something has changed between last week's turbulence and this week's inflation news. Gold-related ETF investors are bullish again.
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Timing The Rate Hikes
February 15, 2018
Bloomberg – Will the Fed Soon Signal Four Hikes in 2018? Don’t Bet on It U.S. inflation is perking up. And just like that, commentators are speculating the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates more times than the three moves they’ve penciled in for this year. So, when they gather in Washington next month, how… Continue reading Timing The Rate Hikes
Newsclips
Doubting A Gradual Normalization
February 15, 2018
Bloomberg – Welcome to the Post-New Normal Era in Markets Get ready for the post-new normal. Recent market volatility reflects more than just an unwinding of positions or the failure of a few esoteric volatility products. The catalyst for the sell-off arrived on Feb. 2 in the form of higher-than-expected U.S. wage inflation. Although a… Continue reading Doubting A Gradual Normalization
Newsclips
Japanese Yen Dominating Bitcoin Volume
February 15, 2018
Bloomberg – Crypto Trading Ban Downplayed by South Korea After Backlash Regulators the world over are grappling with cryptocurrencies South Korea’s government gave the strongest signal yet that it will allow cryptocurrency exchanges to keep operating in the country, a welcome development for traders who had feared an outright ban in one of the world’s… Continue reading Japanese Yen Dominating Bitcoin Volume
Newsclips
More Bashing Of Bitcoin By The Old Guard
February 15, 2018
The Financial Times – Berkshire’s Charlie Munger calls bitcoin ‘totally asinine’ There cannot be many nonagenarians who spend their time worrying about cryptocurrencies. But Charlie Munger, the 94-year-old billionaire investor, is convinced that bitcoin is “noxious poison”. “I regard the bitcoin craze as totally asinine,” he told a packed hotel ballroom in downtown Los Angeles,… Continue reading More Bashing Of Bitcoin By The Old Guard
Newsclips
Shorting Junk Bonds
February 15, 2018
Bloomberg – Shorts in SPDR Junk Bond ETF Surge to Highest Level Since 2010 Investors are really confident that the second largest high-yield bond exchange-traded fund is headed lower. Short interest as a percentage of shares outstanding on the SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF, ticker JNK, surged to more than 30 percent Wednesday,… Continue reading Shorting Junk Bonds
Newsclips
Understanding The ETF You Own
February 15, 2018
The Financial Times – Worries over exotic exchange traded funds deepen As global stock markets have rallied over the past two years, leveraged ETPs, which use derivatives to juice up the returns of the index they are tracking by up to three times, have had robust growth. At the end of 2017, there were 883… Continue reading Understanding The ETF You Own
Newsclips
Growth vs. Value
February 15, 2018
MoneyBeat (WSJ Blog) – It Might Finally Be Value Stocks’ Time to Shine If the recent market swoon world-wide is any indication, value stocks could be poised for a comeback, according to an analysis by Morgan Stanley. Value stocks have historically tended to outperform growth in high-volatility environments, as investors seek what are perceived as… Continue reading Growth vs. Value
Newsclips
Cartoons
February 15, 2018
Conference Calls
Conference Call Replay – The Surge In Volatility, A Derivatives Debacle Or The Beginning Of A Regime Shift?
February 14, 2018
The handout, audio replay and webinar replay of our February 15, 2018 conference call titled The Surge In Volatility: A Derivatives Debacle Or The Beginning Of A Regime Shift? can be found below. The handout can be found here (starts with the second post). The audio replay can be heard below: The webinar replay is… Continue reading Conference Call Replay – The Surge In Volatility, A Derivatives Debacle Or The Beginning Of A Regime Shift?
Conference Calls
A Return Of The Inflation Mindset?
February 14, 2018
The chart below starts in 1947 and shows the S&P 500 (blue) and 10-year yields (red) in the top panel. The bottom panel (green) is a rolling 5-year correlation of the weekly change in stock and bond prices. Its intention is to show the secular relationship between stock and bond prices. The shaded area highlights… Continue reading A Return Of The Inflation Mindset?
Conference Calls
Did the Risk-ON/OFF Fund Flow Dynamic Die Last Week?
February 14, 2018
The longest running 'risk-on' period according to global fund flows between risk and safe assets has now reached 191 consecutive days. How in the world can this be considering last week's equity smackdown? We need to realize the easy to explain and digestible mantra of 'risk-ON/OFF' flows broke last week.