Newsclips
Tighter Financial Conditions a Threat to Banks
April 6, 2018
Financial sector investors appear sanguine about flattening in the Treasury curve. Tighter financial conditions may present a more serious threat to performance.
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These are Not the Risk-off Flows You Remember
April 6, 2018
Investors are sending flows to short-term U.S. treasuries while shedding equities at their greatest rate in history according to ETF flows. This 'flight-to-safety' is not similar to the 'risk-on/off' conditions very familiar to traders over the past decade.
Monthly Reports
Employment In Pictures – Don’t Blame The Weather
April 6, 2018
With the payroll number missing expectations, many were quick to blame March's unusual snowfall in the Northeast. Unfortunately, the statistics do not back up this opinion.
Newsclips
Eurozone Economic Data Not Very Rosy, U.S. to Follow?
April 6, 2018
Waning Eurozone economic data is now being exacerbated by worsening soft, survey-based data. The Eurozone's pace of improvement in soft data is falling below that of the U.S. for the first time since March 2017.
Newsclips
Many Investment Grade Companies are Nearing a Turn to Zombie Status
April 6, 2018
The threat of zombie companies denting high yield corporates grows as interest rates rise.
Newsclips
What We’re Reading
April 6, 2018
Today's topics include the trade war, central bank reserves, concerns for corporate America, the Bund's tight trading range, American states in crisis, stock market bears, machine learning and LIBOR.
Newsclips
Cartoons
April 6, 2018
Newsclips
Inflation > Financial Stability, Fed Won’t So Quickly Respond to Market Turmoil
April 5, 2018
Powell and gang are expected to have muted responses to financial market turmoil, unlike their recent brethren. The rise of inflation as the Federal Reserve's main focus over financial stability is a very important development, implying the 'Fed put' is likely much further away than expected.
Newsclips
Canada’s Growing Optimism on NAFTA
April 5, 2018
Converging economic growth and diverging realized inflation favor a stronger Canadian dollar and U.S. Treasury outperformance.
Newsclips
Lingering Winter Weather In Parts Of U.S. Unlikely To Affect Payroll Report
April 5, 2018
Despite lingering winter weather in parts of the U.S., the payroll report is unlikely to be abnormally affected.
Newsclips
What We’re Reading
April 5, 2018
Today's topics include jobs and inflation, slowing Eurozone growth, the Venezuelan bolivar, tariffs' effect on jobs, Chinese selling of Treasuries and market timing.