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The May 4, 2018 CoT Report
May 7, 2018
A look at the CoT report from May 4, 2018.
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What We’re Reading
May 7, 2018
Today's topics include shadow banking, credit concerns, the perils of groupthink, optimistic homeowners, stock seasonality around election cycles, the race for $1 trillion market cap and robots taking over Wall Street.
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Cartoons
May 7, 2018
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Wage Gains, Where the Heck are They?!
May 4, 2018
The connection has broken between sentiment and wage gains. Technology-heavy metros continue to attract the lion's share of recruitment and better salaries. The outlook is not yet very rosy, even given full employment.
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Jim’s View: Investors Need To Look Forward, Not Backward
May 4, 2018
As risk markets struggle in 2018, we need to again remind ourselves they look forward and not backward. Booming earnings, deregulation, tax cuts and synchronized global growth propelled stocks earlier this year, but those themes have recently taken a back seat to peak earnings fears, rate hikes, quantitative tightening and a slowdown in Europe.
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Argentina Delivers Another Blow to Emerging Market Debt
May 4, 2018
Distress in Argentina is the latest issue dragging down emerging market performance in Latin America. Resilient economic growth and stable ETF flows may help some LatAm sovereigns outperform.
Monthly Reports
Employment In Pictures
May 4, 2018
A look at the April 2018 payroll report.
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What We’re Reading
May 4, 2018
Today's topics include the guidance game, central banks, bank liquidity, the New York Fed and EM currencies.
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Cartoons
May 4, 2018
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The FOMC Meeting – Still On Track For Future Hikes
May 3, 2018
Jim Bianco offered his opinion on the FOMC decision on Bloomberg TV.
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“As Good as it Gets”
May 3, 2018
Investors are contemplating whether or not earnings and economic growth are "as good as it gets." Global concerted growth has indeed ended with diverging data change indices. Transitions away from economic surprises and above-average data changes have typically produced the greatest volatility over the ensuing months.
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Relief on the Treasury Issuance Front
May 3, 2018
Growth in net new issuance will level off through the third quarter, offering some relief to Treasury markets in the near term.