Charts of the Week
A Look At Debt to GDP
August 29, 2018
A comparison of various types of debt to GDP
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Humanities In Crisis
August 29, 2018
The number of students majoring in the humanities at U.S. universities is declining at a rapid rate.
Charts of the Week
Midterm Update
August 29, 2018
The following charts continue to support the idea that the midterms are going to be a lot closer than conventional wisdom suggests.
Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: NIPA After Tax Corp Profits Back To 1948
August 29, 2018
A long-term look at corporate profits
Newsclips
Real Yield Curve Looks to Come Out of Inversion
August 29, 2018
The divergence between yield curve positioning by ETFs (flatter) and futures (steeper) is nearing an extreme favoring a steeper real yield curve. Additionally, seasonals and and potential for dampening FOMC rate hike timing suggest real and nominal 2-year 10-year spreads should converge.
Newsclips
Which EM Sectors Benefit if the Dollar Slips?
August 29, 2018
Emerging market equities' ties to the dollar are at their strongest since August 2016. We still see modest downside risks for the dollar and potential tailwinds for some emerging market sectors.
Newsclips
What We’re Reading
August 29, 2018
Today's topics include rising consumer confidence, yield curves and recessions, the stock market, the "fast star", the market vs the Fed, volatility, the U.S. dollar, secular stagnation, corporate debt and the stock market vs pundits.
Newsclips
Cartoons
August 29, 2018
Cartoons.
Newsclips
What’s Good for Metals is Good for Risk Markets
August 28, 2018
Trade-related growth concerns have tightened the ties between industrial metals and risk markets. U.S. high yield bonds and both developed and emerging market equities are likely to tag along if metals rebound.
Newsclips
Converging Global Growth Good for Industrial Metals
August 28, 2018
Industrial metals are expected to continue rebounding after sinking significantly below fair value. Converging economic data is supportive of emerging markets and the commodity trade going into the fall of 2018.
Newsclips
No Political Storm Brewing
August 28, 2018
While Washington and cable news continue to obsess over impeachment, financial markets are making new highs and prediction markets are not convinced anything has changed.
Newsclips
What We’re Reading
August 28, 2018
Today's topics include the yield curve, the Fed going too far, wage growth, central bank balance sheets, tax cuts, the next financial crisis, Nafta and coding.