Conference Calls
Conference Call Replay – Is a Retest Coming?
February 14, 2019
A replay of our February 14, 2019 conference call.
A replay of our February 14, 2019 conference call.
Today's topics includes the rally in the high yield market, Deutsche bank, the new JPM coin, Fed officials speak about the U.S. economy, Europe's economy, Japan's economy, leveraged loans and the tech sector.
Earnings recessions typically precede economic recessions, except when driven by a 50%+ collapse in crude oil prices.
Inflation statistics through January 2019.
Today's topics include the risk-on cycle and investor sentiment, active vs passive management, Powell discusses the uneven U.S. economy, why the Fed needs to worry about the yield curve, what the Fed is focusing on, Europe's economy, Greenspan is worried about the deficit, the side effects of QE, Spain and LIBOR's replacement.
Economists see growth and more inflation. The market sees a slowdown and tightening liquidity.
Today's topics include the strong U.S. dollar, investors rotating into cash, the "boring" yield curve, leveraged loans, stress testing the Phillips curve, Venezuela, Turkey, Europe's slowing economy, why gold won't help troubled economies, crude oil production and Kyle Bass predicts a mild recession in 2020.
The markets and economists have vastly different views on the balance sheet and the path for rate hikes. This is a problem.
The potential of an earnings recession in 2019 (two consecutive negative growth quarters) is now a real possibility.