Newsclips
Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP
July 26, 2019
A look at the size of various markets compared to the U.S. economy.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
July 26, 2019
Today's topics include negative interest rates, high yield bond issuance, bond funds on pace for record inflows in 2019, the ECB, homeownership rate falls, why "peak car" is overblown, Einhorn is betting against easy money and Kyle Bass on why a trade deal can't be reached.
Newsclips
Cartoons
July 26, 2019
Newsclips
When Has the Fed Cut Enough?
July 25, 2019
The Fed is preparing to cut rates. Since they have not articulated a reason, it seems that the inverted curve and market pricing are driving this decision. If the inverted curve is weighing into the decision, the Fed should continue cutting until the yield curve really steepens. In the past, that has taken several rate cuts, often by more than 100 basis points.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
July 25, 2019
Today's topics include the ECB's meeting, the search for a proper inflation target, the risks in propping up asset prices, economists' wide range of GDP estimates, more evidence of Europe's economy suffering, the Fed and manufacturing, antitrust lawsuits at the disruptors, the Mueller hearing and Judy Shelton's nomination.
Newsclips
Cartoons
July 25, 2019
Charts of the Week
Economists’ Wide Range of Q2 GDP Forecasts
July 24, 2019
The range of Q2 GDP estimates is among the largest since 1997.
Charts of the Week
Falling Rates Across Europe
July 24, 2019
With economic data deteriorating in Europe, rates at both the short end and long end have been falling in the EU.
Charts of the Week
A Look at Potential GDP
July 24, 2019
GDP is running above potential, which has been somewhat rare since 1980.
Charts of the Week
Gold Bullishness Reaches 3-Year High
July 24, 2019
With gold prices up almost 11% so far in 2019, bullish sentiment has finally followed higher.
Charts of the Week
Mixed Messages in Treasury Bonds
July 24, 2019
Newsletter writers and futures positioning offer different views of Treasury bond sentiment.
Charts of the Week
An Update on Negative-Yielding Debt
July 24, 2019
As yields continue to push lower across the globe, we offer a look at the universe of negative-yielding debt.