Charts of the Week
Where Has Job Growth Come From?
December 4, 2019
Small and mid-sized companies have accounted for the large majority of job creation since 2007.
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Who Has Obtained Jobs Since 2009?
December 4, 2019
Jobs have been plentiful for college grads, but jobs for those less educated are more difficult to find.
Charts of the Week
Updating Negative Rates
December 4, 2019
An update on the universe of negative-yielding debt
Charts of the Week
2019 Stock Returns Among Best in 30 Years
December 4, 2019
With total return data for the S&P 500 going back to 1988, only four years posted better returns through this point of the year - 1989, 1995, 1997 and 2013.
Charts of the Week
An Impeachment Update
December 4, 2019
Now that the Democrats have released their report on the impeachment hearings, how have polls and bettors responded?
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Roundup
December 4, 2019
Select charts from our recent posts
Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: Real Home Price Appreciation Since 1890
December 4, 2019
Real home price appreciation since 1890
Newsclips
Election Update – Volatile Pre-Primary Season Continues
December 4, 2019
Kamala Harris dropped out of the election yesterday, adding to an unusually volatile pre-primary season in which many candidates exited before the Iowa primary. Bettors continue to price the presidential race as a coin toss between Trump and the unnamed Democrat.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
December 4, 2019
Today's topics include the trade war roller coaster continues, active managers shun diversification, El-Erian sees volatility on the horizon, eight days until the UK election, Germany's culture of saving, the negative rates blame game, using natural language processing to gauge central bank sentiment and Ray Dalio's celebrity status.
Newsclips
Cartoons
December 4, 2019
Newsclips
The Fed: Everyone Has a Plan Until They Are Punched in the Mouth
December 3, 2019
Jim was on CNBC's Trading Nation yesterday talking about the outlook for the Fed going into 2020. The Fed has a plan to keep rates steady for the foreseeable future, but as Jim quipped, "everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth." He believes a 5% to 7% correction in stocks in 2020 could force the Fed to revisit talks of rate cuts.
Newsclips
Total Return Review – All Major Assets Providing Positive Returns in 2019
December 3, 2019
Investors would be hard-pressed to find an asset class that has lost money in 2019.