Today's topics include Fed officials have their eye on inflation expectations, Trump's battle with the Fed, the latest on Iran, oil supply & demand, foreign demand for U.S. treasuries, active vs. passive ETFs, betting against the dollar, central banks' gold purchases, and Lagarde on the euro's big opportunity
Where should yields be? What are the current drivers of the bond market? What is the latest on inflation and the economy?
The Commitments of Traders report allows investors to gauge position changes for different groups of traders/investors.
Today's topics include crude oil reverses much of initial spike higher, the strait of Hormuz, the world is less dependent on crude oil than in past decades, betting on rate cuts after Powell's term, uncertainty keeping implied stock correlations low, Judy Shelton on the Fed's balance sheet, a long-term look at U.S. vs. European stock returns, Japan to continue tapering bond purchases, and Chinese imports of foreign goods
Today's topics include the dollar reaches a critical point, momentum in equities, the case for rate cuts, what changes the debt trajectory, misplaced concern over the 30-year auction, Xi vs. Trump: a battle of time horizon, a quick profile of the Chinese economy, and active ETFs find their moment in 2025
All signs continue to point to an August or September x-date.
Small business owners were optimistic after Trump's election win in November. The on-again, off-again nature of the trade war has taken a toll on this optimism.
Options volume on all exchanges has increased massively since the COVID-19 pandemic.
China accounted for over two thirds of the world's rare earths production in 2024, a position which gives the country leverage in ongoing trade negotiations.