Newsclips
Expect a VERY Aggressive Fed
April 22, 2022
"Hike to something breaks" is now the Fed's unofficial policy. This could mean a plunging stock market/economy or runaway inflation. But the Fed is not stopping until something breaks.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
April 22, 2022
Today's topics include reasons to worry about inflation, reasons not to worry about inflation, an eye on the yuan & capital outflows from China, the growth of central banks' balance sheets, quantifying the effect of an EU gas embargo, quantifying the economic effect of China's lockdown, the world's reliance on wheat, the case for continued global supply chains, and an update on Russian oligarchs
Newsclips
Cartoons
April 22, 2022
Charts of the Week
Some Rough QT Math
April 22, 2022
Will the Fed have to actively sell notes and bonds to reduce the Treasury portion of their balance sheet by $60 billion per month? Some rough math suggests they have time on their side.
Charts of the Week
Checking in on High Yield & Investment Grade ETFs
April 22, 2022
Investment grade and high yield bonds trade like an index thanks to the evolution of ETFs. In particular, ETF trading is accounting for a larger portion of cash market volume.
Charts of the Week
Defi Growth Hinges on Stablecoins
April 22, 2022
Stablecoins continue to be a hot topic of debate as Tether (USDT) and Circle (USDC) dominate market share. These coins are centralized and are redeemable for $1.00 because they are backed by cash and cash equivalents, essentially money market instruments.
Charts of the Week
A COVID Update
April 22, 2022
A look at the latest infection counts around the world
Charts of the Week
Ten More Hikes Expected by Year-End
April 22, 2022
The market currently expects seven hikes by the end of 2022, with 100 basis points worth of hikes expected in the next three meetings.
Charts of the Week
Negative-Yielding Debt Continues to Shrink
April 22, 2022
An update of the world of negative-yielding debt
Charts of the Week
A Long-Term Look at Retail Gas Prices
April 22, 2022
A long-term look at retail gas prices
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Roundup
April 22, 2022
Some interesting charts from our recent posts
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
April 21, 2022
Today's topics include 50 basis point hike almost a certainty at May meeting, should the Fed review its policy framework?, where have all the bulls gone?, measuring Russia's oil shock with satellite images, the technicalities of Russian default, wage inflation, countries diversifying away from the dollar, a weak yen means higher import costs for Japan, European power prices continue rising, and Goldman shows interest in crypto exchange FTX