Charts of the Week
The Correlation Between Stock & Bond Returns Turns Positive
November 11, 2022
As inflation remains at elevated levels, the correlation between stock and bond returns is a telling sign on investors' thinking.
As inflation remains at elevated levels, the correlation between stock and bond returns is a telling sign on investors' thinking.
2022 has gone from a year of asking, "could it get any worse?" to asking "what is going to break first?" Central banks' historic pace of tightening has left financial markets are feeling the pressure. We check on investor sentiment and positioning.
A long-term look at gold prices
Some highlights from our recent posts.
Yesterday Jim appeared on both Fox Business and Real Vision to talk about the FTX/Binance drama in cryptoland.
CPI came in below expectations for just the fourth time since the beginning of 2021. Projecting where inflation will be in several months is an impossible task, but running through several scenarios offers some perspective.
Today's topics include Jim Discusses today's CPI report, running out of cash, the Treasury market's big players, mortgage crunch, the future of 'zero - covid', a renewable future needs low rates, debt ceiling fight, bye-bye soft landing hopes, regulators' balancing act, inventories are a problem, and crypto deleveraging time
pic.twitter.com/9EuRv3gA2L — crv.mktcap.eth (@CurveCap) November 9, 2022 The next Warren Buffett: Eddie Lempert … nopeBill Ackman … nopeCathie Wood … nopeChamath Palihapitiya … nopeSBF … nope Who wants to volunteer their career to be next? pic.twitter.com/pPYDPUSqOE — Jim Bianco (@biancoresearch) November 9, 2022
Today's topics include US mortgages, 6% terminal rate?, looking at UK insurers, tech layoffs, inflation expectations, european wage inflation, and FTX blowup
On Election Day, the final set of polls, models, and bets are in. The Republicans look to sweep into the majority of the House and lean favorably to take the majority of the Senate. We soon find out how accurate these predictions are.
The United States economy seems to be caught in a tug-of-war state in which investors are equally unsure whether recession can be avoided or if it is certain. We take a look at economic strength measures to understand what might be ahead.