Conference Calls
Are Rates Too High?
September 18, 2023
A replay of our September 21, 2023 conference call.
A replay of our September 21, 2023 conference call.
It is widely believed high rates will lead to at least an economic slowdown ("soft landing") if not a recession ("hard landing"). But what if rates are not that restrictive? The economy could weather these rates ("no landing") and it would take even higher rates to pull the economy down.
Today's topics include two sides of the 'higher for longer' battle, a soft landing, rising energy prices, the carry trade, quantifying the auto workers' strike, comparing China's slowdown to Japan's in the 1990s, more on the quirk of measuring medical care costs, and don't sweat the bond maturity wall.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Energy Prices, Post-Shutdown Economy, Inflation Expectations, Central Bank Policy and the Bond Market with Jonathan Ferro & Mohamed A. El-Erian.
Today's topics include the post shutdown economy, higher interest rates' effect on the economy, higher interest rates' effect on corporations, higher oil's effect on the economy & markets, the basis trade, the ECB's growing power, money market fund inflows, Pimco sees 'harder landing', latest Bloomberg survey mimics fed funds market's rate projections, and the supply of new housing.
A look at outstanding amounts of Treasuries, corporates, agencies, munis and open market paper
The amount of outstanding private credit in the U.S. experienced a brief decline during the financial crisis, but government debt grew throughout the entire period.
Private pension funds have much smaller funding gaps than their government counterparts.
Defined benefit plans continue to be replaced by IRAs and defined contribution plans.
Over the past few quarters, households' real estate equity and direct stock ownership converged to similar levels.