Newsclips
Employment in Pictures – Another Huge Beat
October 6, 2023
This morning's big payrolls number pushed up the odds of another Fed hike slightly, but traders remain non-committal.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
October 6, 2023
Today's topics include the bond market in focus, Grantham continues to beat the bubble drum, visualizing 2023 worker strikes, looking at bank stocks, debt issuance, American labor market, and is anyone studying accounting anymore?
Newsclips
Cartoons
October 6, 2023
Charts of the Week
Are Corporations Benefiting From Higher Interest Rates?
October 6, 2023
Non-financial corporations are getting a bigger benefit from higher interest income than the drag from higher interest expenses. Consequently, their financial position is improving. This may be why higher rates are not hurting the economy.
Charts of the Week
Personal Interest Expenses on the Rise
October 6, 2023
Personal interest expenses are eating up a larger portion of households' income.
Charts of the Week
The Dollar Goes Streaking
October 6, 2023
The dollar is in the midst of its longest consecutive streak of weekly advances since the currency began freely floating in the 1970s.
Charts of the Week
Treasury Sentiment and Positioning
October 6, 2023
Since the COVID-19 pandemic, bullish sentiment has been scarce. We have argued that the bond bull market ended in 2020 and we have entered a period of rising rates, yet there continues to be a directional skew or "hope" for lower rates.
Charts of the Week
Who Is Buying Treasuries at Auction?
October 6, 2023
In the last six auctions, dealers bought less than 15% of the 10-year notes offered, on average. In contrast, investment funds are now taking down almost 62% of the average auction.
Charts of the Week
QT Is Like Watching Paint Dry
October 6, 2023
How big are the Fed's holdings of bonds, notes, bills, TIPS, MBS, agencies, and FRNs in relation the outstanding market?
Charts of the Week
A Long-Term Look at Retail Gas Prices
October 6, 2023
A long-term look at retail gas prices
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Recap
October 6, 2023
Some interesting charts from our recent posts
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
October 5, 2023
Today's topics include previewing tomorrow's payrolls release, distinguishing bull steepenings from bear steepenings, higher rates make recession more likely, quantifying bonds' fall, do deficits matter again?, rising issuance, and Bill Gross sees P/E ratios falling