Weekly Digest
Weekly Research Recap
September 29, 2023
Some interesting charts from our recent posts.
Some interesting charts from our recent posts.
Today's topics include 5% 10s!, options expiration today, government shutdown worry, hedge fund leverage, powell emphasizes the importance of communication, more inflation concerns, fear in markets, oil prices close in on $100, japanese yields soar, are banks embracing WFH?
Today's topics include checking in on treasury returns, how much does China's slowdown factor into Fed policy?, quantifying the effects of a government shutdown, crude closing in on $100, manipulating stocks options?, an index for dispersion trading, small caps feeling the pinch of higher rates, the rising cost of owning a home, and a comical take on market messages
In the latest installment of Talking Data, Jim discusses the neutral interest rate known as R*.
Today's topics include the effects of a potential government shutdown, when flows do not follow performance, updating the stock market's decline, more on household savings, a sign real yields are restrictive, companies feeling the pinch of higher rates, comparing China to Japan, and how Russia circumvents oil sanctions
The pandemic has swung the labor/management relationship in favor of labor. "Stickier" inflation and higher interest rates will result.
Today's topics include Jamie Dimon on the funds rate, feeling the pinch of higher rates, the basis trade, dwindling savings, Moody's warns on a U.S. shutdown, 0DTE options, measuring gas prices as a percent of disposable income, and the reason for rising rates matters to tech stocks.
The 2009 to 2020 period might be the outlier for interest rates, not the norm. So, hoping R* will return to this outlier period when the inflation landscape has changed will prove to be misplaced.