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More On China Cracking Down On Capital Outlfows

February 13, 2017

Associated Press – ‘Captured and returned’: China is going after ‘capital crocodiles’ abroad China’s stock regulator says in comments reported by multiple news outlets that Beijing plans to have people abroad who are accused of financial market misconduct “captured and returned.”  The reports Friday follow the disappearance of a Chinese-born Canadian businessman from Hong Kong and… Continue reading More On China Cracking Down On Capital Outlfows

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What Are Corporate Managers Talking About?

February 13, 2017

Factset – Which Potential Trump Policies Have the S&P 500 Talking in Q4? During each corporate earnings season, it is not unusual for companies to comment on subjects that had an impact on their earnings and revenues for a given quarter, or may have an impact on earnings and revenues for future quarters. Through this past… Continue reading What Are Corporate Managers Talking About?

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Trumpflation

February 13, 2017

<Click on chart for larger image> Bloomberg Business – Trumpflation Is Running Out of Gas Break-even inflation falling amid fiscal policy uncertainty .. “For the markets, the honeymoon is starting to end with Trump,” said Thomas Simons, senior economist at Jefferies LLC in New York. “We need to see something real — we can’t just continue… Continue reading Trumpflation

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Running Out Of Oil Discoveries?

February 13, 2017

<Click on graphic for larger image> The Financial Times – Oil and gas discoveries dry up to lowest total for 60 years Companies are putting a brake on exploration and large fields are harder to find Discoveries of new oil and gasfields have dropped to a fresh 60-year low, as companies put a brake on… Continue reading Running Out Of Oil Discoveries?

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Newsclips

Mexican Peso

February 13, 2017

<Click on chart for larger image> The Wall Street Journal – Risks in Emerging Markets Rise as Peso’s Hedging Allure Dims Investors are starting to doubt peso can continue to serve as a proxy for emerging markets The Mexican peso’s recent tumult is upending the way many global investors hedge their bets on emerging markets and… Continue reading Mexican Peso

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Derivatives

February 13, 2017

The Financial Times – John Dizard: Derivatives market is short of a $3.7tn lifeboat Central clearing has not proved a magic solution for systemic risk For institutions that use derivatives, collateral put up by their counterparties provides the same reassurance lifeboats do on a ship. Unfortunately, for all the post-crisis reforms, it would appear that… Continue reading Derivatives

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Newsclips

Are Silicon-Based Traders Causing Carbon-Based Traders To Go Extinct?

February 13, 2017

AFP – Algorithms become the most dominant players on Wall Street Today, algorithms are the dominant force in markets, playing a role in the vast majority of securities transactions. “I would say it is 90 percent algorithmic, but there is not a great way to quantify that,” said Valerie Bogard, an equity analyst at Tabb… Continue reading Are Silicon-Based Traders Causing Carbon-Based Traders To Go Extinct?

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Which Way For Yields?

February 13, 2017

Bloomberg.com – Lisa Abramowicz: Bond Market Plots an Unsteady Course Top bond traders are starting to come to a new consensus about the direction of U.S. borrowing costs.  After weeks of turmoil at the end of 2016, an increasing number of them have come to believe there’s a good chance that Treasury yields will fall before… Continue reading Which Way For Yields?

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Cartoons

February 13, 2017

None Today

Newsclips

The Reflation Trade – Real Growth or Inflation

February 10, 2017

Comment Yesterday we hosted a conference call titled The Reflation Trade – Real Growth or Inflation.  The mp3 replay and handout are below. Audio Click here for the handout Jim Bianco was also on Bloomberg radio yesterday morning discussing interest rates. To listen to this interview, click on below. https://assets.bwbx.io/av/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/v5Jti0.bbDnc/v2.mp3

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Newsclips

How The Fed’s Balance Sheet Matters

February 10, 2017

<Click on chart for larger image> Bloomberg.com – Fed’s Bullard Says Fiscal Uncertainty Should Delay Rate Increase Bullard repeated that he would like the FOMC to consider shrinking its balance sheet, which was bloated with several rounds of purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities in a strategy known as quantitative easing.  He added that reform… Continue reading How The Fed’s Balance Sheet Matters

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OPEC’s Production Cuts

February 10, 2017

<Click on chart for larger image> MarketWatch – OPEC output cuts at record 90% compliance: IEA OPEC members have reached a record compliance of 90% with their agreed output cuts, the International Energy Agency said Friday. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries on Nov. 30 agreed to cut its production from January by 1.2… Continue reading OPEC’s Production Cuts