Charts of the Week
Credit Card Debt Growth Outpacing Inflation
February 14, 2025
Credit card debt is now 36% higher than it was pre-pandemic.
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Mortgage Origination by Credit Score
February 14, 2025
Mortgage originations remain well off the peak set in 2021.
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Recap
February 14, 2025
Some interesting charts from our recent posts
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
February 13, 2025
Today's topics include more on yesterday's CPI release, the tariff wars, the accounting gimmickry of monetizing U.S. gold holdings, Fed independence, measuring the market's fragility, is the buy-the-dip mentality fading?, the Mag 7, Jamie Dimon's remote work frustrations boil over, and the winter freeze on the housing market
Newsclips
Cartoons
February 13, 2025
Focused Research
Inflation Watch – Biggest Beat in More Than a Year
February 12, 2025
CPI came in much higher than expectations. Traders now see a roughly 50/50 chance the Fed remains on hold through the September meeting.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
February 12, 2025
Today's topics include Powell reiterates no rush on lowering rates further, two conflicting views on inflation, an uncertain society but calm market, a shift in what is driving equity markets, Japanese borrowing costs, earnings beats continue to roll in, risk on market, draining reverse repo, China's property crisis is getting worse, creating a bipolar world, traders eye Wednesday rallies, and are stablecoins the future?
Newsclips
Cartoons
February 12, 2025
Newsclips
Talking Data: Is Inflation Unanchored? – An Update
February 11, 2025
In the latest installment of Talking Data, Jim discusses inflation expectations and the market's reaction.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
February 11, 2025
Today's topics include Previewing tomorrow's CPI report, explaining Trump's treasury irregularities comment, the Fed remains in wait-and-see mode, today's tariff headlines, many ways to measure an overvalued market, European natural gas, and sanctioned oil
Newsclips
Cartoons
February 11, 2025
Newsclips
Is Inflation Becoming Unanchored? – An Update
February 10, 2025
The Fed believes controlling inflation expectations is critical to returning to its 2% target. However, most measures of inflation expectations are becoming unanchored. If the Fed continues ignoring this, the bond market's reaction will worsen.