Today's topics include is DeepSeek a black swan event for AI?, equity risk premium turns negative for first time since 2002, greater volatility & the case for active management, the treasury general account, quantifying the effect of immigration/deportations, carry trades become less attractive, turning the 60/40 portfolio upside down, and deglobalization
DoubleLine Round Table Prime 2025 was held Jan. 9 at DoubleLine’s downtown L.A. office.
A replay of our January 28, 2024 conference call.
Today's topics include Trump vs. Powell, future stock returns, stock market breadth, tax more or spend less, the idea of talking down oil prices, the decline of public trading, extraordinary measures, corporate insiders selling, and checking in on U.S. ports
Federal debt held by the public is on pace to surpass 100% of GDP by the end of 2025. Much of this is due to rising carrying costs.
Stocks are still expensive, even if one avoids the Magnificent Seven.
The majority of S&P 500 companies' market capitalization is made up by intangible assets like branding or patents rather than physical assets like buildings or machinery.
Small business owners' outlook on general business conditions reached its second highest level since 1988.
Retirement assets rose by $2 trillion in Q3 2024.
The number of homes sold each month has fallen considerably from the January 2021 high. Over the past few months, however, a bit of an uptrend has formed.