Measuring Political Risk, Trump And Approval Ratings

 

Measuring Political Risk.  The Economist Intelligent Unit compiles Political Risk measures for 132 countries at last count.  The next chart shows the 10 countries with the lowest political risk.  Pretty standard stuff (Denmark then Luxembourg are the lowest).

 

The next chart shows the 10 countries with the highest political risk.  Britain is on this list! Right above it is the Congo and Iraq.  Right below it is Cambodia and El Salvador.

The reason is understandable, Brexit.  But Britain with a higher risk that Cambodia?  Similar to the Congo?  We would argue this rating is more about the “intellectuals” at The Economist making a political statement about their disapproval of Brexit more than an honest assessment of Britain’s actual political risk.

 

 

 

Using the interactive chart below, you can view the political risk for any country over any period you choose.

 

 

How safe is Trump?  The bettors are giving him much better than a 50% probability of stay in office until the end of next year.

 

 

 

 

Click for static images of the President’s ratings comparison, President’s ratings over time and how Trump compares to past approval ratings

 

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