Tag Archives: Markets
Has the Dynamic Changed?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Chairman Powell still worries a big rally in asset prices would lead to increased spending and higher inflation.... Read More
Reality … inflation has peaked.
Jim Bianco: Watching Bloomberg TV, and they are repeating the same mantra as everyone else. That is stating overwhelming consensus views with a tone in their voice like they are telling you something unique. Reality … inflation has peaked. That... Read More
Housing Market’s Slowdown Continues
Posted By Greg Blaha
Redfin's alternative measures of the housing market continue to show a slowdown in the crazy conditions of the last year.... Read More
The Most Volatile Day of the Year?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Historically, the first trading day and week of the year are volatile for a range of assets.... Read More
The Trend in 10-Year Yields
Posted By Jim Bianco
The secular trend in 10-year yields is higher and could stay that way for many years.... Read More
China and the 2023 Consensus View
Posted By Jim Bianco
China is not yet showing signs of reopening, despite announcements that zero-Covid restrictions are being lifted. This matters for Wall Street as a Chinese rebound is central to the 2023 consensus views of a rebound in raw commodities, a surge in finished goods that will depress inflation leading to the Fed pivoting, and risk markets soaring in 2H 2023.... Read More
Breaking Down Debt in the U.S.
A look at outstanding amounts of Treasuries, corporates, agencies, munis and open market paper... Read More
Comparing the Value of Credit in the U.S. to GDP
The amount of outstanding private credit in the U.S. experienced a brief decline during the financial crisis, but government debt grew throughout the entire period. Both are now at new highs.... Read More
Funding Gaps at Public and Private Pensions
Private pension funds have much smaller funding gaps than their government counterparts.... Read More
Defined Benefit Plans vs. IRAs
Defined benefit plans continue to be replaced by IRAs and defined contribution plans.... Read More
Comparing Real Estate to GDP and Stock Ownership
Over the past couple quarters, households' real estate equity actually surpassed stock ownership.... Read More
Over 45% of FDIC Deposits Are Uninsured
Over 45% of FDIC deposits in the U.S. are uninsured.... Read More
Did the Bank of Japan Succumb to Inflation?
Posted By Jim Bianco
The Bank of Japan raised the cap on 10-year JGB yields in what they called a technical adjustment due to financial stability issues. The real reason this move was necessary is that inflation is running way ahead of their target and forcing yields higher.... Read More