Sample Our Reports, Presentations, & Market Insights
Our Take on the Bond Market in 2000 Part 3: How is Reduced Supply Affecting the Bond Market? For all the talk of Treasury buybacks and budget surpluses, nominal GDP is much more important in setting the “fair value” of interest rates than...
City Monetary Group Presentation Package (382K) Presentation package used in London, England on March 8, 2000.
Interest Rates Made Simple An article written by James Grant and reprinted with permission of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer, copyright 2000. All rights reserved.
Our Take on the Bond Market in 2000 Part 2: How Far Will the Yield Curve Invert? The marketplace is coming to the realization that the Fed is going to raise rates at every FOMC meeting until the economy slows. As this attitude gains wider acceptance,...
Are Poor Auctions Really Bullish? Much was made about the poor auctions last week. Is it bearish?
Our Take on the Bond Market in 2000 Part 1: Why the yield curve is inverted There is more to the yield curve inversion than supply cuts and buyback announcements. In fact, the Fed policy may have contributed more to the inversion than the...
How to Calculate the Odds of a Change in the Fed Funds Rate A primer on how to use the fed funds futures as a predictor of Fed policy.
“As Goes the Week . . .” “As Goes the Month . . .” A look at how predictive the first week and the month of January are in predicting the course of the stock market for the entire year.
The New 6% T-Bond Contract A historical look at the new 6% Treasury Bond futures contract.
The International Federation of Technical Analysts, Inc. Speech (518K) Presentation package used at the IFTA Conference in Niagra-on-the-Lake, Ontario, Canada on October 19, 1999.
Corporate Supply – The Big Lie! Wall Street is vastly overstating the amount of corporate supply and its importance to spreads.
Unrealized Gains in Domestic Equity Mutual Funds are Booming During this decade, the public’s average purchase price of domestic equity mutual funds has been below current market levels. This is especially true over the last few years. So, the...