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October 31, 2000
bianco@ leuthold How The Election Really Affects Your Portfolio A look at how the election and the Government affects the stock and bond markets.
Our Research
Sample Our Reports, Presentations, & Market Insights
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October 26, 2000
“Economics” versus “Events” in the Bond Market Part 1: Economics A look at the trend of the economy and how we believe it relates to interest rates.
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October 19, 2000
Does the “October Bottom” Theory Work? What happens to the major stock market averages after a 10% September/October decline?
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September 19, 2000
Emerging Markets Debt versus U.S. Domestic High Yield Debt: What is the Bigger Risk? For the first time ever the yield of U.S. domestic high yield debt is higher than the yield of emerging market debt. Why?
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June 5, 2000
The Society of Asset Allocators and Fund Timers, Inc. (SAAFTI) (435K) Presentation package used in Chicago, Illinois on June 5, 2000.
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June 1, 2000
The Trade No One Recommended? Part 2 – Why Has Spread Product Performed Poorly? Understanding what is driving swap spreads is critical in gauging the health of the fixed-income markets.
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May 18, 2000
The Trade No One Recommended Part 1 – How Bad Has Spread Product Performance Been? The Treasury Master has outperformed all other major fixed-income Merrill Master Indices year-to-date; over the last 1 year; and over the last 3 years.
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April 13, 2000
Our Take on the Bond Market in 2000 Part 3: How is Reduced Supply Affecting the Bond Market? For all the talk of Treasury buybacks and budget surpluses, nominal GDP is much more important in setting the “fair value” of interest rates than...
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March 8, 2000
City Monetary Group Presentation Package (382K) Presentation package used in London, England on March 8, 2000.
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February 29, 2000
Interest Rates Made Simple An article written by James Grant and reprinted with permission of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer, copyright 2000. All rights reserved.
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February 23, 2000
Our Take on the Bond Market in 2000 Part 2: How Far Will the Yield Curve Invert? The marketplace is coming to the realization that the Fed is going to raise rates at every FOMC meeting until the economy slows. As this attitude gains wider acceptance,...
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February 14, 2000
Are Poor Auctions Really Bullish? Much was made about the poor auctions last week. Is it bearish?