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March 2, 2007
We’re All Stock Traders Now The stock market influences the economy, interest rates, the federal deficit and many other markets. It is arguably the center of the financial universe. As go stocks, so go many other markets.
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February 23, 2007
Commitments of Traders Update/Analysis Statistics cover the CoT report for February 20, 2007. Further charts and comments include Eurodollar Futures: Hedgers Liquidating Net Long Positions Yen Futures: Large Speculators Covered Some Shorts Natural...
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February 21, 2007
Is OER Set To Turn Lower? A sharp decline in apartment REIT returns relative to all REIT returns indicates a shift back from tenancy to homeownership at the housing market’s margin. Owners’ Equivalent Rent data will start to look softer...
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February 16, 2007
Low Volatility Everywhere, Some Causes Audio Link of Conference Call February Conference Call Presentation Package.
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February 16, 2007
Currencies and Trade Weights A review of 26 currencies with as many as 34 years of data accounting for 100% of the Federal Reserve’s trade weights confirms income elasticities, trade agreements, economic integration and the terms in which goods...
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February 9, 2007
Assessing Foreign Auction Participation While foreign auction participation and indirect bid percentages are valuable tools in determining foreign demand for U.S. bonds, their importance on a micro level may be overstated. Like the net purchases of...
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February 8, 2007
Revisiting the Original Conundrum: The Interest Rate-to-Stock Relationship Nearly 10 years ago the relationship between stocks and interest rates changed. We attribute this change to a paradigm shift when the stock market’s capitalization first...
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January 31, 2007
Mutual Fund Flows Update Tables updated through December 31, 2006 with data released January 30, 2007. Comments on Stock Funds, Bond Funds and Hybrid Funds, and the public’s break-even level.
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January 31, 2007
Charts of the Week Topics Covered This Week Include: Mutual Fund Flows – All Stocks vs. Bonds World vs. Domestic Mutual Fund Flows Measuring The Public’s Unrealized Profits How Big Is The Stock Market? Corporate Yield Curves’ Warnings Corporate Yield Curve And OAS Comparing The Stock Market To The Bond Market How Big Are Commodity… Continue reading Untitled
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January 30, 2007
How Big Are Commodity Index Funds? The commodities’ bull market this decade has been nothing short of remarkable. As prices continued to soar, money managers looked to the new concept of commodities as an asset class and used commodity index...
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January 24, 2007
Liquidity In The Stock Market It is important to recognize the rally both for what it is, a reduction of supply, and what it is not, an increase in demand. Too many commentators are trying to force a demand story of petrodollar money being recycled...
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January 18, 2007
Inflation Watch Update In this month’s update, we take a look at rental prices in relation to Owners’ Equivalent Rent and Core CPI.