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March 15, 2011

U.S. Treasury’s International Capital Statistics Update Tables and comments detailing foreign investment through January 31, 2011 with data released on March 15, 2011. Only time will tell how much Japan’s economy is affected by the...

The Myth Of Cash On The Sidelines Revisited

March 14, 2011

Real-Time Economics (WSJ Blog) – Number of the Week: Companies’ Cash Hoard Grows. $1.9 trillion: Corporate America’s cash U.S. companies’ cash hoard keeps getting bigger, a trend both good and troubling. After hitting new highs in five of...

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March 1, 2011

February Total Return Review: Stocks Again For The Long Run, But Only Barely The attached tables and comments update the total returns through February. ?? This month, we take a look at the historic nature of stock returns versus bond returns over...


TIC Revisions: What’s $268 Billion Amongst Friends?

March 1, 2011

The Financial Times – China holds $1,160bn of US debt The US Treasury has dramatically revised data on foreign holdings of US government debt, estimating that China owns more Treasuries than previously thought while the UK holds only about half...

15 Consecutive Weekly Outflows From Muni Funds

February 24, 2011

The Wall Street Journal – Hedge Funds Prop Up Muni Market—for Now The good news for the municipal-bond market in recent weeks is that some of the world’s biggest hedge funds have been buying billions of dollars in munis. That may also...

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February 17, 2011

Inflation Watch Update The attached tables update inflation rates through January 2011. This month, we compare producer prices to consumer prices in an attempt to quantify the margin squeeze that goods-producing companies are currently undergoing.


WTI/Brent Spreads Widens More

February 16, 2011

Last week, in a post titled Why Crude Oil Prices Are Now Above $100/Barrel, we said: Events are causing NYMEX futures contracts that are delivered in Cushing Oklahoma to be very unrepresentative of world crude oil prices.  Cushing Oklahoma is a...

Why Are Economists ALWAYS Bearish On Interest Rates?

February 15, 2011

Ask any economist for an interest rates forecast and he or she will most likely tell you interest rates are going higher.  Ask them why they think interest rates are going up and they will probably tell you a confluence of events is coming together...

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February 11, 2011

Commitments of Traders Update/Analysis Statistics cover the CoT report for February 8, 2011. Further charts and comments include: Eurodollar Futures: Commercials Now Net Long Nasdaq 100 E-Mini Futures: Large Speculators Reduce Net Long Positions...


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February 9, 2011

Charts of the Week Topics Covered This Week Include: Why Crude Oil Prices Are Now Above $100/Barrel Crude Oil Mid-Continent Dislocation Returns TIPS’ Forecasting Record Still Better Than Economists’ Betting On Metals Declining Carry Trade Again A Warning To Global Equities Russian Markets Facing Rising Inflation Carry Into Filipino Markets Fading Thailand Turns Lower As… Continue reading


Why Crude Oil Prices Are Now Above $100/Barrel

February 9, 2011

What is the worldwide price of crude oil? If you’re like most, you will look up the nearby crude oil futures contract that trades on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).  Yesterday (February 8th) the March 2011 NYMEX contract closed at...

Are Companies Now Gaming Revenue Estimates?

February 7, 2011

Bloomberg.com – S&P 500 Beating Estimates for Sales by Most Since 2006 More U.S. companies are exceeding sales forecasts than any time in four years, helping extend the biggest stock-market rally since 1936. Caterpillar Inc. and United...

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© 2025 Bianco Research, LLC. All rights reserved. This material is for your private information, we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This material should not be redistributed or replicated in any form without the prior consent of Arbor Research & Trading, LLC. The material is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such.