Sample Our Reports, Presentations, & Market Insights
Barron’s – Byron Wien: The Scary Signal of the Bond Market The surprising drop in 10-year Treasury yield speaks volumes about challenges of a changing economy. At the beginning of the year, most market strategists were in agreement that...
The Financial Times – Hedge funds slash bets against sterling Currency strengthens as investors expect Conservatives to win election and gain seats Hedge funds have slashed their bets against the British pound to the lowest level since the...
Bloomberg – Central Banks to Stay Looser Longer Than Markets Expect This is a busy time for major central banks. The Bank of Japan and European Central Bank met last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Federal Reserve meet this week,...
The Wall Street Journal – After 100 Days of Trump Presidency, Advisers Say Client Worry Has Eased ‘No one is telling me, “I’m afraid of Trump,” at this point, as far as their investments go’ In the aftermath of Republican Donald...
The Verge – Twitter will stream 24-hour news from Bloomberg starting this fall Twitter will partner with Bloomberg as part of its plans to stream live video 24 hours a day, The Wall Street Journal reports. The deal will see Bloomberg producing...
The Wall Street Journal – Renaissance Feud Spills Over to Hedge Fund Poker Night Executive David Magerman says he had hoped to repair frayed relationship with Mercers Mr. Magerman hit his own losing streak. Around 10:30 p.m., after he consumed...
Business Insider – Bitcoin is getting close to its all-time high after the SEC says it will reconsider the Winklevoss ETF Bitcoin is closing in on a record high after the US Securities and Exchange Commission has approved Bats Exchange’s pettition to reconsider the Winklevoss bitcoin ETF. The cryptocurrency was trading up 2.1% at $1,281.76 a coin as… Continue reading
S&P Global Platts – US shale oil rebound shakes OPEC Even with oil prices hovering around the $50/b mark, the US rig count has increased rapidly while E&P companies continue to record substantial reductions in well drilling costs. The increase in new well oil production per rig demonstrates the extraordinary gains the shale drillers have made. In… Continue reading
Forecasts for PCE core YoY inflation rising over the next 12 months are 97%. Upside growth in excess of 50 bps stand at 70% using realized economic growth through March 2017. All in all, we are very likely in a rising inflation cycle. The chart below shows median monthly returns and percentage positive for the… Continue reading Total Return Expectations According to...
Comment A client recently asked us to break down public and private pension funds’ holdings of debt versus equities. The first chart below shows the nominal holdings through the Fed’s latest Flow of Funds release as of Q4 2016. The next chart shows the same data as a percentage of all pension fund holdings. The… Continue reading Pension Fund...
Comment The chart below shows the complete history of Gallup’s presidential approval rating back to 1938. The first tab (Presidents’ Rating Comparison) shows the first 100 days of all presidents’ approval ratings since the Great Depression. The middle tab (Presidents’ Ratings Over Time) shows all the Presidents back to 1938. Note you can pick a particular… Continue reading